AI Model Win Probability
WOLVES
100%
HAWKS
0%
WOLVES
--
HAWKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
132.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.0
MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.0 points (Maryland Eastern Shore)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UMES -10.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UMES)
CHEY By 1-7 points
10.7%
CHEY By 8-14 points
3.3%
UMES By 1-7 points
23.0%
UMES By 8-14 points
27.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Cheyney (PA)
61
CHEYNEY (PA)
Maryland Eastern Shore
71
MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE
Simulated Score
Cheyney (PA)
43
CHEYNEY (PA)
Maryland Eastern Shore
88
MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Hawks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hawks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Hawks (+9.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Sim
Hawks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -45.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u164.0
Win
Proj Total: 132.0
D
Sim
u164.0
Win
Proj Total: 131.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 8, 2025
CHEY @ UMES
59 - 104
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+38.0% more
Maryland Eastern Shore: 11.0
vs
Cheyney (PA): 8.0
Rebounding (L5)
+31.1% more
Maryland Eastern Shore: 36.9
vs
Cheyney (PA): 28.1
Blocks (L5)
+13.2% more
Maryland Eastern Shore: 2.8
vs
Cheyney (PA): 2.4
Free Throw % (L5)
+7.9%
Maryland Eastern Shore: 57.7%
vs
Cheyney (PA): 49.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHEY Score
61.0
59
UMES Score
71.0
104
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
25.8 / 32.0
62.0 / 24.0
Assists
11.0 / 8.0
20.0 / 4.0
Blocks
2.8 / 2.4
3.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
33.5 / 36.7
79.0 / 40.0
Free Throw %
57.7 / 49.8
70.0 / 68.0
Rebounding
36.9 / 28.1
31.0 / 19.0
Steals
5.7 / 8.7
9.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
20.0 / 20.5
18.0 / 21.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHEY
--
UMES
Advantage
9-23-0
(28.1%)
Margin: -6.4
ATS +/-: +0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHEY
--
UMES
Advantage
15-15-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -6.4
ATS +/-: +0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
CHEY
--
UMES
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3%
Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UMES
CHEY
UMES
CHEY
ML
66%
21-11
50%
1-1
81%
21-5
100%
2-0
ATS
69%
22-10
100%
2-0
81%
21-5
100%
2-0
TTL
66%
21-11
100%
2-0
100%
26-0
100%
2-0