WEBSTER
GORLOKSWEBST
0-0 | Road
56
MIDDLE TENNESSEE
BLUE RAIDERSMTSU
2-0 | Home
109
AI Model Win Probability
GORLOKS
100%
BLUE RAIDERS
0%
GORLOKS
--
BLUE RAIDERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
126.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-20.0
MIDDLE TENNESSEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +20.0 points (Middle Tennessee)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MTSU -20.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MTSU)
WEBST By 1-7 points
1.7%
WEBST By 8-14 points
0.3%
MTSU By 1-7 points
8.0%
MTSU By 8-14 points
18.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Webster
53
WEBSTER
Middle Tennessee
73
MIDDLE TENNESSEE
Simulated Score
Webster
48
WEBSTER
Middle Tennessee
85
MIDDLE TENNESSEE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Blue Raiders
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Blue Raiders
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Blue Raiders (+10.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -20.0
D
Sim
Blue Raiders (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -37.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u162.5
Loss
Proj Total: 126.0
D
Sim
u162.5
Win
Proj Total: 133.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 8, 2025
WEBST @ MTSU
56 - 109
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+404.0% more
Middle Tennessee: 5.0
vs
Webster: 1.0
Steals (L5)
+79.3% more
Middle Tennessee: 7.2
vs
Webster: 4.0
Assists (L5)
+60.1% more
Middle Tennessee: 16.0
vs
Webster: 10.0
Field Goal % (L5)
+10.6%
Middle Tennessee: 47.6%
vs
Webster: 37.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WEBST Score
53.0
56
MTSU Score
73.0
109
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.2 / 46.0
35.0 / 20.0
Assists
16.0 / 10.0
27.0 / 10.0
Blocks
5.0 / 1.0
7.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
47.6 / 37.0
49.0 / 40.0
Free Throw %
61.5 / 67.0
75.0 / 67.0
Rebounding
42.2 / 43.0
48.0 / 30.0
Steals
7.2 / 4.0
12.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
11.1 / 16.0
9.0 / 26.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WEBST
--
MTSU
Advantage
17-15-0
(53.1%)
Margin: 2.7
ATS +/-: +0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WEBST
--
MTSU
Advantage
13-16-0
(44.8%)
Margin: 2.7
ATS +/-: +0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
WEBST
--
MTSU
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: +1.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MTSU
WEBST
MTSU
WEBST
ML
56%
18-14
50%
1-1
69%
22-10
100%
2-0
ATS
75%
24-8
50%
1-1
69%
22-10
100%
2-0
TTL
53%
17-15
50%
1-1
100%
32-0
100%
2-0
