AI Model Win Probability
RANGERS
100%
BEARS
0%
RANGERS
--
BEARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
141.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-49.0
MISSOURI STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +49.0 points (Missouri State)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MOST -49.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MOST)
NWO By 1-7 points
0.0%
NWO By 8-14 points
0.0%
MOST By 1-7 points
0.0%
MOST By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Northwestern Oklahoma State
46
NORTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA STATE
Missouri State
95
MISSOURI STATE
Simulated Score
Northwestern Oklahoma State
60
NORTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA STATE
Missouri State
85
MISSOURI STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bears
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bears
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bears (+10.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -49.0
D
Sim
Bears (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -25.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u162.5
Loss
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Sim
u162.5
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 8, 2025
NWO @ MOST
57 - 106
Key Model Drivers
No driver metrics compiled for this game.
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NWO Score
46.0
57
MOST Score
95.0
106
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
28.2 / 0.0
40.0 / 24.0
Assists
12.2 / 0.0
32.0 / 8.0
Blocks
4.4 / 0.0
0.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
40.9 / 0.0
60.0 / 36.0
Free Throw %
73.7 / 0.0
58.0 / 58.0
Rebounding
38.9 / 0.0
52.0 / 25.0
Steals
7.0 / 0.0
8.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
11.4 / 0.0
12.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NWO
--
MOST
Advantage
16-18-0
(47.1%)
Margin: 1.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NWO
--
MOST
Advantage
18-13-0
(58.1%)
Margin: 1.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
NWO
--
MOST
19-12-0
O: 61.3% / U: 38.7%
Total +/-: +3.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MOST
NWO
MOST
NWO
ML
65%
22-12
100%
1-0
62%
21-13
100%
1-0
ATS
68%
23-11
100%
1-0
62%
21-13
100%
1-0
TTL
44%
15-19
0%
0-1
100%
34-0
100%
1-0