Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Eagles @ Mountaineers NCCU @ APP

NORTH CAROLINA CENTRAL

EAGLESNCCU

0-3  |  Road

54
FINAL
Sun, Nov 9 • 1:00 PM ET
Holmes Convocation Center
View Odds Details →

APP STATE

MOUNTAINEERSAPP

2-1  |  Home

76
AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
100%
📊
MOUNTAINEERS
0%
EAGLES --
MOUNTAINEERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
146.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.0
APP STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.0 points (App State)
EaglesNCCU (-3.5) 0 MountaineersAPP (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Eagles Cover

15.9%

Mountaineers Cover

84.1%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around APP -10.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (APP)

NCCU By 1-7 points

10.7%

NCCU By 8-14 points

3.3%

APP By 1-7 points

23.0%

APP By 8-14 points

27.2%

AI Model Projected Score
68
NORTH CAROLINA CENTRAL
78
APP STATE
Simulated Score
65
NORTH CAROLINA CENTRAL
78
APP STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Mountaineers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Mountaineers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Mountaineers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Sim Mountaineers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 9, 2025 NCCU @ APP 54 - 76
Nov 10, 2022 NCCU @ APP 74 - 79
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +239.4% more
App State: 5.6 vs North Carolina Central: 1.7
Rebounding (L5) +35.1% more
App State: 38.7 vs North Carolina Central: 28.6
Turnovers (L5) +28.0% more
North Carolina Central: 13.7 vs App State: 9.9
Free Throw % (L5) +16.0%
North Carolina Central: 76.1% vs App State: 60.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NCCU Score 68.0 54
APP Score 78.0 76
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.5 / 35.0 27.0 / 27.0
Assists 12.3 / 12.5 15.0 / 9.0
Blocks 5.6 / 1.7 4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 41.9 / 41.0 44.0 / 30.0
Free Throw % 60.1 / 76.1 72.0 / 90.0
Rebounding 38.7 / 28.6 41.0 / 29.0
Steals 7.6 / 7.2 6.0 / 3.0
Turnovers 9.9 / 13.7 8.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NCCU
14-18-0 (43.8%)
Margin: -3.6 ATS +/-: -1.9
APP Advantage
19-13-0 (59.4%)
Margin: 6.0 ATS +/-: +0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NCCU
15-13-0 (53.6%)
Margin: -3.6 ATS +/-: -1.9
APP Advantage
16-13-1 (55.2%)
Margin: 6.0 ATS +/-: +0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
NCCU
13-15-0
O: 46.4% / U: 53.6% Total +/-: +2.1
APP
12-18-0
O: 40.0% / U: 60.0% Total +/-: -1.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
APP
NCCU
APP
NCCU
ML
62% 20-12
65% 20-11
59% 19-13
81% 22-5
ATS
59% 19-13
71% 22-9
59% 19-13
81% 22-5
TTL
69% 22-10
55% 17-14
100% 32-0
100% 27-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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