MOLLOY
LIONSMLLY
0-0 | Road
61
HOFSTRA
PRIDEHOF
1-2 | Home
95
AI Model Win Probability
LIONS
0%
PRIDE
100%
LIONS
--
PRIDE
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
148.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-50.0
MOLLOY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +50.0 points (Molloy)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MLLY -50.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MLLY)
MLLY By 1-7 points
0.0%
MLLY By 8-14 points
0.0%
HOF By 1-7 points
0.0%
HOF By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Molloy
99
MOLLOY
Hofstra
49
HOFSTRA
Simulated Score
Molloy
58
MOLLOY
Hofstra
85
HOFSTRA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Lions
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Pride
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Lions (+33.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -50.0
D
Sim
Pride (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -27.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u148.5
Loss
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Sim
u148.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 10, 2025
MLLY @ HOF
61 - 95
Nov 24, 2021
MLLY @ HOF
49 - 87
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+20.2% more
Molloy: 15.3
vs
Hofstra: 12.2
Blocks (L5)
+269.0% more
Hofstra: 3.7
vs
Molloy: 1.0
Assists (L5)
+80.3% more
Hofstra: 13.8
vs
Molloy: 7.7
Free Throw % (L5)
+43.4%
Hofstra: 65.7%
vs
Molloy: 22.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MLLY Score
99.0
61
HOF Score
49.0
95
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.4 / 18.0
32.0 / 14.0
Assists
13.8 / 7.7
22.0 / 12.0
Blocks
3.7 / 1.0
4.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
42.3 / 31.7
51.0 / 39.0
Free Throw %
65.7 / 22.3
60.0 / 44.0
Rebounding
37.5 / 37.7
51.0 / 33.0
Steals
6.7 / 6.7
8.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
12.2 / 15.3
11.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MLLY
--
HOF
Advantage
24-11-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 8.7
ATS +/-: +4.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MLLY
--
HOF
Advantage
21-12-0
(63.6%)
Margin: 8.7
ATS +/-: +4.0
⚖️ Over/Under
MLLY
--
HOF
18-15-0
O: 54.6% / U: 45.5%
Total +/-: +0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HOF
MLLY
HOF
MLLY
ML
77%
27-8
0%
0-1
71%
25-10
100%
1-0
ATS
83%
29-6
0%
0-1
71%
25-10
100%
1-0
TTL
51%
18-17
0%
0-1
100%
35-0
100%
1-0
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