ECCLESIA
ROYALSECCL
0-0 | Road
51
SOUTHERN
JAGUARSSOU
1-2 | Home
115
AI Model Win Probability
ROYALS
0%
JAGUARS
100%
ROYALS
--
JAGUARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
161.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-37.0
ECCLESIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +37.0 points (Ecclesia)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around ECCL -37.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ECCL)
ECCL By 1-7 points
0.1%
ECCL By 8-14 points
1.1%
SOU By 1-7 points
0.0%
SOU By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Ecclesia
99
ECCLESIA
Southern
62
SOUTHERN
Simulated Score
Ecclesia
48
ECCLESIA
Southern
92
SOUTHERN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Royals
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Jaguars
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Royals (+33.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -37.0
D
Sim
Jaguars (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -44.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o148.5
Win
Proj Total: 161.0
D
Sim
u148.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 10, 2025
ECCL @ SOU
51 - 115
Nov 17, 2024
ECCL @ SOU
42 - 131
Dec 31, 2023
ECCL @ SOU
42 - 115
Nov 23, 2021
ECCL @ SOU
53 - 109
Nov 18, 2019
ECCL @ SOU
55 - 121
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+33.2% more
Ecclesia: 19.8
vs
Southern: 13.3
Blocks (L5)
+210.0% more
Southern: 3.0
vs
Ecclesia: 0.9
Rebounding (L5)
+56.5% more
Southern: 38.9
vs
Ecclesia: 24.8
Steals (L5)
+19.3% more
Southern: 7.3
vs
Ecclesia: 6.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ECCL Score
99.0
51
SOU Score
62.0
115
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.8 / 24.4
36.0 / 29.0
Assists
10.9 / 9.4
27.0 / 13.0
Blocks
3.0 / 0.9
3.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
41.0 / 31.5
58.0 / 41.0
Free Throw %
69.6 / 55.3
69.0 / 45.0
Rebounding
38.9 / 24.8
42.0 / 23.0
Steals
7.3 / 6.1
23.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
13.3 / 19.8
12.0 / 35.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ECCL
--
SOU
Advantage
17-17-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 1.7
ATS +/-: -1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ECCL
--
SOU
Advantage
13-18-0
(41.9%)
Margin: 1.7
ATS +/-: -1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
ECCL
--
SOU
20-11-0
O: 64.5% / U: 35.5%
Total +/-: +4.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SOU
ECCL
SOU
ECCL
ML
67%
22-11
60%
3-2
70%
21-9
100%
5-0
ATS
64%
21-12
60%
3-2
70%
21-9
100%
5-0
TTL
42%
14-19
100%
5-0
100%
30-0
100%
5-0
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