VIRGINIA-LYNCHBURG
DRAGONSUVAL
0-0 | Road
58
TENNESSEE TECH
GOLDEN EAGLESTNTC
1-2 | Home
118
AI Model Win Probability
DRAGONS
0%
GOLDEN EAGLES
100%
DRAGONS
--
GOLDEN EAGLES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
124.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-52.0
VIRGINIA-LYNCHBURG
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +52.0 points (Virginia-Lynchburg)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UVAL -52.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UVAL)
UVAL By 1-7 points
0.0%
UVAL By 8-14 points
0.0%
TNTC By 1-7 points
0.0%
TNTC By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Virginia-Lynchburg
88
VIRGINIA-LYNCHBURG
Tennessee Tech
36
TENNESSEE TECH
Simulated Score
Virginia-Lynchburg
54
VIRGINIA-LYNCHBURG
Tennessee Tech
93
TENNESSEE TECH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Dragons
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Golden Eagles
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Dragons (+33.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -52.0
D
Sim
Golden Eagles (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -39.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u148.5
Loss
Proj Total: 124.0
D
Sim
u148.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 10, 2025
UVAL @ TNTC
58 - 118
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5)
+5.1%
Virginia-Lynchburg: 64.1%
vs
Tennessee Tech: 59.0%
Assists (L5)
+238.3% more
Tennessee Tech: 13.3
vs
Virginia-Lynchburg: 3.9
Blocks (L5)
+216.1% more
Tennessee Tech: 3.7
vs
Virginia-Lynchburg: 1.2
Rebounding (L5)
+20.9% more
Tennessee Tech: 32.1
vs
Virginia-Lynchburg: 26.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UVAL Score
88.0
58
TNTC Score
36.0
118
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.6 / 15.9
23.0 / 28.0
Assists
13.3 / 3.9
23.0 / 13.0
Blocks
3.7 / 1.2
8.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
45.6 / 26.5
58.0 / 27.0
Free Throw %
59.0 / 64.1
70.0 / 65.0
Rebounding
32.1 / 26.6
64.0 / 29.0
Steals
6.7 / 6.3
8.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
15.2 / 13.6
15.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UVAL
--
TNTC
Advantage
13-18-0
(41.9%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UVAL
--
TNTC
Advantage
14-14-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
UVAL
--
TNTC
14-14-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TNTC
UVAL
TNTC
UVAL
ML
50%
15-15
78%
7-2
65%
15-8
100%
9-0
ATS
50%
15-15
78%
7-2
65%
15-8
100%
9-0
TTL
57%
17-13
44%
4-5
100%
23-0
100%
9-0
