NORTH GREENVILLE
CRUSADERSNGU
0-0 | Road
92
GARDNER-WEBB
RUNNIN' BULLDOGSGWEB
0-3 | Home
81
AI Model Win Probability
CRUSADERS
0%
RUNNIN' BULLDOGS
100%
CRUSADERS
--
RUNNIN' BULLDOGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
145.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+11.0
GARDNER-WEBB
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around GWEB +11.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GWEB)
NGU By 1-7 points
21.6%
NGU By 8-14 points
27.4%
GWEB By 1-7 points
9.3%
GWEB By 8-14 points
2.7%
AI Model Projected Score
North Greenville
78
NORTH GREENVILLE
Gardner-Webb
67
GARDNER-WEBB
Simulated Score
North Greenville
62
NORTH GREENVILLE
Gardner-Webb
85
GARDNER-WEBB
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Crusaders
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Runnin' Bulldogs
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Runnin' Bulldogs (+33.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +11.0
D
Sim
Runnin' Bulldogs (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -23.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u148.5
Loss
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Sim
u148.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 10, 2025
NGU @ GWEB
92 - 81
Dec 11, 2023
NGU @ GWEB
60 - 79
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+18.9% more
North Greenville: 9.4
vs
Gardner-Webb: 7.6
Steals (L5)
+16.8% more
North Greenville: 5.7
vs
Gardner-Webb: 4.7
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+2.1%
North Greenville: 31.4%
vs
Gardner-Webb: 29.2%
Turnovers (L5)
+12.6% more
Gardner-Webb: 14.7
vs
North Greenville: 13.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NGU Score
78.0
92
GWEB Score
67.0
81
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
29.2 / 31.4
27.0 / 50.0
Assists
7.6 / 9.4
13.0 / 21.0
Blocks
2.7 / 2.6
2.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
39.1 / 36.8
44.0 / 56.0
Free Throw %
66.5 / 55.5
75.0 / 68.0
Rebounding
32.0 / 34.0
28.0 / 41.0
Steals
4.7 / 5.7
8.0 / 1.0
Turnovers
14.7 / 13.1
8.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NGU
--
GWEB
Advantage
4-29-0
(12.1%)
Margin: -17.3
ATS +/-: -3.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NGU
--
GWEB
Advantage
15-14-1
(51.7%)
Margin: -17.3
ATS +/-: -3.0
⚖️ Over/Under
NGU
--
GWEB
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7%
Total +/-: -1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GWEB
NGU
GWEB
NGU
ML
73%
22-8
100%
2-0
63%
19-11
50%
1-1
ATS
73%
22-8
100%
2-0
63%
19-11
50%
1-1
TTL
53%
16-14
50%
1-1
100%
30-0
100%
2-0
Contextual Game News
