SIMPSON COLLEGE (IA)
STORMSIMPS
0-0 | Road
51
DRAKE
BULLDOGSDRKE
2-1 | Home
89
AI Model Win Probability
STORM
0%
BULLDOGS
100%
STORM
--
BULLDOGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
170.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+32.0
DRAKE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around DRKE +32.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DRKE)
SIMPS By 1-7 points
0.6%
SIMPS By 8-14 points
3.3%
DRKE By 1-7 points
0.1%
DRKE By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Simpson College (IA)
101
SIMPSON COLLEGE (IA)
Drake
69
DRAKE
Simulated Score
Simpson College (IA)
40
SIMPSON COLLEGE (IA)
Drake
105
DRAKE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Storm
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bulldogs
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bulldogs (+33.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +32.0
D
Sim
Bulldogs (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -65.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o148.5
Loss
Proj Total: 170.0
D
Sim
u148.5
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 10, 2025
SIMPS @ DRKE
51 - 89
Nov 17, 2019
SIMPS @ DRKE
53 - 98
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+50.3% more
Simpson College (IA): 18.0
vs
Drake: 9.0
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+5.0%
Simpson College (IA): 39.0%
vs
Drake: 34.0%
Blocks (L5)
+478.0% more
Drake: 4.8
vs
Simpson College (IA): 0.0
Free Throw % (L5)
+71.4%
Drake: 71.4%
vs
Simpson College (IA): 0.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SIMPS Score
101.0
51
DRKE Score
69.0
89
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.0 / 39.0
32.0 / 29.0
Assists
12.3 / 10.0
15.0 / 12.0
Blocks
4.8 / 0.0
6.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
42.7 / 33.0
47.0 / 29.0
Free Throw %
71.4 / 0.0
80.0 / 50.0
Rebounding
35.3 / 27.0
48.0 / 34.0
Steals
7.2 / 6.0
11.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
9.0 / 18.0
10.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SIMPS
--
DRKE
Advantage
14-20-0
(41.2%)
Margin: 0.2
ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SIMPS
--
DRKE
Advantage
11-21-0
(34.4%)
Margin: 0.2
ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
SIMPS
--
DRKE
18-14-0
O: 56.3% / U: 43.8%
Total +/-: +3.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DRKE
SIMPS
DRKE
SIMPS
ML
59%
20-14
0%
0-1
38%
13-21
100%
1-0
ATS
85%
29-5
100%
1-0
38%
13-21
100%
1-0
TTL
56%
19-15
0%
0-1
100%
34-0
100%
1-0
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