ARLINGTON BAPTIST
PATRIOTSABU
0-0 | Road
61
UT ARLINGTON
MAVERICKSUTA
2-1 | Home
117
AI Model Win Probability
PATRIOTS
0%
MAVERICKS
100%
PATRIOTS
--
MAVERICKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
159.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-37.0
ARLINGTON BAPTIST
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +37.0 points (Arlington Baptist)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around ABU -37.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ABU)
ABU By 1-7 points
0.1%
ABU By 8-14 points
1.1%
UTA By 1-7 points
0.0%
UTA By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Arlington Baptist
98
ARLINGTON BAPTIST
UT Arlington
61
UT ARLINGTON
Simulated Score
Arlington Baptist
47
ARLINGTON BAPTIST
UT Arlington
98
UT ARLINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Patriots
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Mavericks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Patriots (+33.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -37.0
D
Sim
Mavericks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -51.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o148.5
Win
Proj Total: 159.0
D
Sim
u148.5
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 10, 2025
ABU @ UTA
61 - 117
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+28.1% more
Arlington Baptist: 23.3
vs
UT Arlington: 16.8
Steals (L5)
+18.3% more
Arlington Baptist: 7.3
vs
UT Arlington: 6.0
Free Throw % (L5)
+7.8%
Arlington Baptist: 70.3%
vs
UT Arlington: 62.5%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.1%
Arlington Baptist: 25.6%
vs
UT Arlington: 21.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ABU Score
98.0
61
UTA Score
61.0
117
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
21.4 / 25.6
40.0 / 36.0
Assists
13.2 / 8.1
30.0 / 14.0
Blocks
4.9 / 2.1
5.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
42.2 / 31.2
57.0 / 38.0
Free Throw %
62.5 / 70.3
58.0 / 65.0
Rebounding
41.8 / 26.7
58.0 / 22.0
Steals
6.0 / 7.3
13.0 / 11.0
Turnovers
16.8 / 23.3
12.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ABU
--
UTA
Advantage
18-14-0
(56.3%)
Margin: 3.3
ATS +/-: +1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ABU
--
UTA
Advantage
17-13-0
(56.7%)
Margin: 3.3
ATS +/-: +1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
ABU
--
UTA
7-23-0
O: 23.3% / U: 76.7%
Total +/-: -4.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTA
ABU
UTA
ABU
ML
50%
16-16
50%
1-1
62%
20-12
100%
2-0
ATS
59%
19-13
50%
1-1
62%
20-12
100%
2-0
TTL
53%
17-15
50%
1-1
100%
32-0
100%
2-0
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