AI Model Win Probability
CRIMSON PRIDE
100%
JAGUARS
0%
CRIMSON PRIDE
--
JAGUARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
144.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-36.0
IU INDIANAPOLIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +36.0 points (IU Indianapolis)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around IUIN -36.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (IUIN)
IUC By 1-7 points
0.0%
IUC By 8-14 points
0.0%
IUIN By 1-7 points
0.2%
IUIN By 8-14 points
1.4%
AI Model Projected Score
IU Columbus
54
IU COLUMBUS
IU Indianapolis
90
IU INDIANAPOLIS
Simulated Score
IU Columbus
57
IU COLUMBUS
IU Indianapolis
88
IU INDIANAPOLIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Jaguars
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Jaguars
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Jaguars (-8.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -36.0
D
Sim
Jaguars (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -31.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u161.5
Loss
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Sim
u161.5
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 11, 2025
IUC @ IUIN
77 - 121
Nov 4, 2024
IUC @ IUIN
44 - 100
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+278.3% more
IU Indianapolis: 11.4
vs
IU Columbus: 3.0
Assists (L5)
+138.1% more
IU Indianapolis: 16.7
vs
IU Columbus: 7.0
Free Throw % (L5)
+38.3%
IU Indianapolis: 74.3%
vs
IU Columbus: 36.0%
Field Goal % (L5)
+13.4%
IU Indianapolis: 44.4%
vs
IU Columbus: 31.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
IUC Score
54.0
77
IUIN Score
90.0
121
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.3 / 21.0
31.0 / 44.0
Assists
16.7 / 7.0
38.0 / 20.0
Blocks
2.8 / 3.0
7.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
44.4 / 31.0
51.0 / 48.0
Free Throw %
74.3 / 36.0
81.0 / 57.0
Rebounding
30.1 / 27.0
50.0 / 31.0
Steals
11.4 / 3.0
25.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
12.7 / 16.0
19.0 / 36.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
IUIN
IUC
IUIN
IUC
ML
69%
22-10
100%
1-0
78%
25-7
100%
1-0
ATS
66%
21-11
100%
1-0
78%
25-7
100%
1-0
TTL
50%
16-16
0%
0-1
100%
32-0
100%
1-0