Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Gaels @ Roos IONA @ KC

IONA

GAELSIONA

2-0  |  Road

105
FINAL
Tue, Nov 11 • 1:00 PM ET
Swinney Center
View Odds Details →

KANSAS CITY

ROOSKC

1-2  |  Home

91
AI Model Win Probability
GAELS
100%
📊
ROOS
0%
GAELS --
ROOS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
137.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
KANSAS CITY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (Kansas City)
GaelsIONA (-3.5) 0 RoosKC (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Gaels Cover

30.9%

Roos Cover

69.1%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around KC -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (KC)

IONA By 1-7 points

18.6%

IONA By 8-14 points

8.0%

KC By 1-7 points

27.2%

KC By 8-14 points

23.0%

AI Model Projected Score
66
IONA
71
KANSAS CITY
Simulated Score
78
IONA
73
KANSAS CITY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Roos Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Gaels Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Roos (+8.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Sim Gaels (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u161.5 Loss
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Sim u161.5 Win
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 11, 2025 IONA @ KC 105 - 91
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +23.3% more
Kansas City: 2.0 vs Iona: 1.6
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +5.0%
Kansas City: 35.8% vs Iona: 30.8%
Steals (L5) +30.8% more
Iona: 7.5 vs Kansas City: 5.2
Assists (L5) +23.2% more
Iona: 14.6 vs Kansas City: 11.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
IONA Score 66.0 105
KC Score 71.0 91
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.8 / 30.8 16.0 / 54.0
Assists 11.2 / 14.6 14.0 / 17.0
Blocks 2.0 / 1.6 1.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 41.6 / 44.1 49.0 / 57.0
Free Throw % 68.0 / 68.0 71.0 / 64.0
Rebounding 35.6 / 36.8 39.0 / 36.0
Steals 5.2 / 7.5 11.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 11.9 / 13.7 18.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
IONA Advantage
18-14-0 (56.3%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: 0.0
KC
4-27-0 (12.9%)
Margin: -14.5 ATS +/-: -6.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
IONA Advantage
19-13-0 (59.4%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: 0.0
KC
5-23-0 (17.9%)
Margin: -14.5 ATS +/-: -6.4
⚖️ Over/Under
IONA
12-20-0
O: 37.5% / U: 62.5% Total +/-: -1.6
KC
16-12-0
O: 57.1% / U: 42.9% Total +/-: +0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
KC
IONA
KC
IONA
ML
63% 19-11
41% 13-19
67% 20-10
62% 20-12
ATS
67% 20-10
53% 17-15
67% 20-10
62% 20-12
TTL
70% 21-9
66% 21-11
100% 30-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
CareSource Invitational Turns Tennis Center into Basketball Show…
wcpo 20 hours, 21 minutes ago
Gerry McNamara Vows to Bring Syracuse Basketball Back to Nationa…
espn 1 day, 1 hour ago
Tyrese Haliburton Set to Make Emotional Return to Iowa State as …
kcci 1 day, 7 hours ago
Cayden Boozer's Return to Duke: Trusting the Vision in a Loaded …
si 1 day, 13 hours ago
Tom Moore Retires from UConn GM Role, Eyes Broadcasting Career
yahoo 2 days, 13 hours ago