SOUTHWESTERN CHRISTIAN
EAGLESSWCHRISTU
0-0 | Road
70
INCARNATE WORD
CARDINALSUIW
2-1 | Home
109
AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
50%
CARDINALS
50%
EAGLES
--
CARDINALS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
116.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
50%
Under 0
50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-26.0
INCARNATE WORD
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +26.0 points (Incarnate Word)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UIW -26.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UIW)
SWCHRISTU By 1-7 points
0.4%
SWCHRISTU By 8-14 points
0.0%
UIW By 1-7 points
2.7%
UIW By 8-14 points
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Southwestern Christian
45
SOUTHWESTERN CHRISTIAN
Incarnate Word
71
INCARNATE WORD
Simulated Score
Southwestern Christian
68
SOUTHWESTERN CHRISTIAN
Incarnate Word
75
INCARNATE WORD
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
50% Win Prob
D
Sim
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Proj Spread: -26.0
D
Sim
Cardinals (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
116
Proj Total: 116.0
D
Sim
o161.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 11, 2025
SWCHRISTU @ UIW
70 - 109
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+37.1% more
Incarnate Word: 15.0
vs
Southwestern Christian: 11.0
Rebounding (L5)
+31.4% more
Incarnate Word: 37.0
vs
Southwestern Christian: 28.1
Free Throw % (L5)
+12.4%
Incarnate Word: 72.5%
vs
Southwestern Christian: 60.1%
Field Goal % (L5)
+6.7%
Incarnate Word: 46.4%
vs
Southwestern Christian: 39.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SWCHRISTU Score
45.0
70
UIW Score
71.0
109
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.5 / 38.8
50.0 / 34.0
Assists
15.0 / 11.0
15.0 / 13.0
Blocks
1.8 / 1.8
6.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
46.4 / 39.7
55.0 / 38.0
Free Throw %
72.5 / 60.1
65.0 / 67.0
Rebounding
37.0 / 28.1
57.0 / 24.0
Steals
8.1 / 7.9
7.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
10.5 / 13.9
8.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SWCHRISTU
--
UIW
Advantage
12-19-0
(38.7%)
Margin: 0.5
ATS +/-: -2.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SWCHRISTU
--
UIW
Advantage
10-18-0
(35.7%)
Margin: 0.5
ATS +/-: -2.0
⚖️ Over/Under
SWCHRISTU
--
UIW
14-14-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UIW
SWCHRISTU
UIW
SWCHRISTU
ML
47%
14-16
--
0-0
76%
22-7
--
0-0
ATS
53%
16-14
--
0-0
77%
23-7
100%
2-0
TTL
60%
18-12
--
0-0
100%
30-0
100%
2-0
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