AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN EAGLES
100%
SEAWOLVES
0%
GOLDEN EAGLES
--
SEAWOLVES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
115.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-21.0
STONY BROOK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +21.0 points (Stony Brook)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around STBK -21.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (STBK)
SJLI By 1-7 points
1.4%
SJLI By 8-14 points
0.2%
STBK By 1-7 points
6.8%
STBK By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Saint Josephs Long Island
47
SAINT JOSEPHS LONG ISLAND
Stony Brook
68
STONY BROOK
Simulated Score
Saint Josephs Long Island
55
SAINT JOSEPHS LONG ISLAND
Stony Brook
85
STONY BROOK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Seawolves
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Seawolves
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Seawolves (-8.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -21.0
D
Sim
Seawolves (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -30.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u161.5
Win
Proj Total: 115.0
D
Sim
u161.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 11, 2025
SJLI @ STBK
43 - 107
Nov 16, 2024
SJLI @ STBK
45 - 93
Nov 10, 2023
SJLI @ STBK
50 - 91
Nov 29, 2022
SJLI @ STBK
48 - 89
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+84.2% more
Stony Brook: 3.5
vs
Saint Josephs Long Island: 1.9
Assists (L5)
+44.2% more
Stony Brook: 12.6
vs
Saint Josephs Long Island: 8.7
Rebounding (L5)
+28.7% more
Stony Brook: 38.6
vs
Saint Josephs Long Island: 30.0
Field Goal % (L5)
+13.0%
Stony Brook: 41.4%
vs
Saint Josephs Long Island: 28.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SJLI Score
47.0
43
STBK Score
68.0
107
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.7 / 24.4
45.0 / 28.0
Assists
12.6 / 8.7
22.0 / 9.0
Blocks
3.5 / 1.9
4.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
41.4 / 28.4
55.0 / 25.0
Free Throw %
64.9 / 65.7
86.0 / 53.0
Rebounding
38.6 / 30.0
46.0 / 32.0
Steals
4.3 / 4.4
19.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
9.2 / 13.5
12.0 / 26.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SJLI
--
STBK
Advantage
17-15-0
(53.1%)
Margin: 0.6
ATS +/-: +1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SJLI
--
STBK
Advantage
17-13-0
(56.7%)
Margin: 0.6
ATS +/-: +1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
SJLI
--
STBK
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
STBK
SJLI
STBK
SJLI
ML
61%
19-12
100%
1-0
71%
22-9
100%
1-0
ATS
61%
19-12
100%
1-0
71%
22-9
100%
1-0
TTL
65%
20-11
100%
1-0
100%
31-0
100%
1-0