AI Model Win Probability
PENSACOLA CHRISTIAN
100%
TROJANS
0%
PENSACOLA CHRISTIAN
--
TROJANS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
154.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-38.0
TROY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +38.0 points (Troy)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around TROY -38.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TROY)
PCC By 1-7 points
0.0%
PCC By 8-14 points
0.0%
TROY By 1-7 points
0.1%
TROY By 8-14 points
0.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Pensacola Christian College
58
PENSACOLA CHRISTIAN COLLEGE
Troy
96
TROY
Simulated Score
Pensacola Christian College
47
PENSACOLA CHRISTIAN COLLEGE
Troy
88
TROY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Trojans
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Trojans
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Trojans (-8.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -38.0
D
Sim
Trojans (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -41.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u161.5
Loss
Proj Total: 154.0
D
Sim
u161.5
Win
Proj Total: 135.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 11, 2025
PCC @ TROY
56 - 121
Key Model Drivers
No driver metrics compiled for this game.
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PCC Score
58.0
56
TROY Score
96.0
121
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.6 / 0.0
44.0 / 38.0
Assists
13.3 / 0.0
31.0 / 8.0
Blocks
4.1 / 0.0
3.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
43.5 / 0.0
56.0 / 36.0
Free Throw %
71.4 / 0.0
74.0 / 83.0
Rebounding
36.1 / 0.0
44.0 / 27.0
Steals
9.9 / 0.0
22.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
11.9 / 0.0
8.0 / 29.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PCC
--
TROY
Advantage
22-12-0
(64.7%)
Margin: 6.1
ATS +/-: -1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PCC
--
TROY
Advantage
17-15-0
(53.1%)
Margin: 6.1
ATS +/-: -1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
PCC
--
TROY
14-16-2
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3%
Total +/-: +2.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TROY
PCC
TROY
PCC
ML
59%
20-14
100%
1-0
61%
20-13
100%
1-0
ATS
65%
22-12
100%
1-0
61%
20-13
100%
1-0
TTL
56%
19-15
0%
0-1
100%
33-0
100%
1-0