ST. FRANCIS (IL)
FIGHTING SAINTSSFIL
0-0 | Road
55
UIC
FLAMESUIC
2-1 | Home
98
AI Model Win Probability
FIGHTING SAINTS
100%
FLAMES
0%
FIGHTING SAINTS
--
FLAMES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
104.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-12.0
UIC
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +12.0 points (UIC)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UIC -12.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UIC)
SFIL By 1-7 points
8.0%
SFIL By 8-14 points
2.2%
UIC By 1-7 points
20.1%
UIC By 8-14 points
27.2%
AI Model Projected Score
St. Francis (IL)
46
ST. FRANCIS (IL)
UIC
58
UIC
Simulated Score
St. Francis (IL)
55
ST. FRANCIS (IL)
UIC
88
UIC
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Flames
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Flames
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Flames (-8.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Sim
Flames (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -33.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u161.5
Win
Proj Total: 104.0
D
Sim
u161.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 11, 2025
SFIL @ UIC
55 - 98
Nov 4, 2024
SFIL @ UIC
43 - 91
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+64.4% more
UIC: 8.8
vs
St. Francis (IL): 5.3
Blocks (L5)
+15.8% more
UIC: 4.3
vs
St. Francis (IL): 3.7
Rebounding (L5)
+13.5% more
UIC: 32.9
vs
St. Francis (IL): 29.0
Assists (L5)
+13.4% more
UIC: 13.1
vs
St. Francis (IL): 11.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SFIL Score
46.0
55
UIC Score
58.0
98
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.5 / 28.4
67.0 / 32.0
Assists
13.1 / 11.6
29.0 / 16.0
Blocks
4.3 / 3.7
3.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
41.0 / 36.3
65.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
77.8 / 72.6
73.0 / 78.0
Rebounding
32.9 / 29.0
33.0 / 18.0
Steals
8.8 / 5.3
17.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
13.4 / 17.1
14.0 / 24.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UIC
SFIL
UIC
SFIL
ML
57%
20-15
100%
1-0
44%
15-19
100%
1-0
ATS
54%
19-16
100%
1-0
44%
15-19
100%
1-0
TTL
60%
21-14
100%
1-0
100%
34-0
100%
1-0
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