BETHESDA UNIVERSITY
FLAMESBTHS
0-0 | Road
60
SOUTHERN UTAH
THUNDERBIRDSSUU
1-2 | Home
118
AI Model Win Probability
FLAMES
100%
THUNDERBIRDS
0%
FLAMES
--
THUNDERBIRDS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
154.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-24.0
SOUTHERN UTAH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +24.0 points (Southern Utah)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SUU -24.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SUU)
BTHS By 1-7 points
0.6%
BTHS By 8-14 points
0.1%
SUU By 1-7 points
4.0%
SUU By 8-14 points
12.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Bethesda University
65
BETHESDA UNIVERSITY
Southern Utah
89
SOUTHERN UTAH
Simulated Score
Bethesda University
55
BETHESDA UNIVERSITY
Southern Utah
102
SOUTHERN UTAH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Thunderbirds
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Thunderbirds
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Thunderbirds (-8.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -24.0
D
Sim
Thunderbirds (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -47.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u161.5
Loss
Proj Total: 154.0
D
Sim
u161.5
Win
Proj Total: 157.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 11, 2025
BTHS @ SUU
60 - 118
Nov 12, 2024
BTHS @ SUU
54 - 107
Nov 14, 2022
BTHS @ SUU
67 - 126
Nov 9, 2021
BTHS @ SUU
74 - 116
Dec 21, 2020
BTHS @ SUU
57 - 96
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+150.4% more
Southern Utah: 6.7
vs
Bethesda University: 2.7
Assists (L5)
+55.9% more
Southern Utah: 11.7
vs
Bethesda University: 7.5
Rebounding (L5)
+25.1% more
Southern Utah: 36.0
vs
Bethesda University: 28.8
Free Throw % (L5)
+12.6%
Southern Utah: 74.1%
vs
Bethesda University: 61.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BTHS Score
65.0
60
SUU Score
89.0
118
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
24.8 / 24.6
37.0 / 14.0
Assists
11.7 / 7.5
28.0 / 5.0
Blocks
6.7 / 2.7
6.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
38.4 / 31.0
57.0 / 28.0
Free Throw %
74.1 / 61.6
73.0 / 71.0
Rebounding
36.0 / 28.8
65.0 / 26.0
Steals
4.7 / 5.7
7.0 / 11.0
Turnovers
13.9 / 15.7
18.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BTHS
--
SUU
Advantage
10-22-0
(31.3%)
Margin: -3.2
ATS +/-: 0.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BTHS
--
SUU
Advantage
14-14-1
(50.0%)
Margin: -3.2
ATS +/-: 0.0
⚖️ Over/Under
BTHS
--
SUU
17-12-0
O: 58.6% / U: 41.4%
Total +/-: +3.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SUU
BTHS
SUU
BTHS
ML
61%
19-12
100%
7-0
68%
21-10
100%
7-0
ATS
71%
22-9
100%
7-0
69%
22-10
100%
7-0
TTL
52%
16-15
71%
5-2
100%
32-0
100%
7-0
Contextual Game News
