AI Model Win Probability
OAKLANDERS
100%
WAVES
0%
OAKLANDERS
--
WAVES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
147.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-35.0
PEPPERDINE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +35.0 points (Pepperdine)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around PEPP -35.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PEPP)
LINCOLNCA By 1-7 points
0.0%
LINCOLNCA By 8-14 points
0.0%
PEPP By 1-7 points
0.3%
PEPP By 8-14 points
1.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Lincoln University (CA)
56
LINCOLN UNIVERSITY (CA)
Pepperdine
91
PEPPERDINE
Simulated Score
Lincoln University (CA)
54
LINCOLN UNIVERSITY (CA)
Pepperdine
92
PEPPERDINE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Waves
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Waves
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Waves (-8.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -35.0
D
Sim
Waves (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -38.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u161.5
Loss
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Sim
u161.5
Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 11, 2025
LINCOLNCA @ PEPP
76 - 113
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+139.5% more
Pepperdine: 2.9
vs
Lincoln University (CA): 1.2
Rebounding (L5)
+55.8% more
Pepperdine: 34.3
vs
Lincoln University (CA): 22.0
Assists (L5)
+30.8% more
Pepperdine: 14.2
vs
Lincoln University (CA): 10.9
Field Goal % (L5)
+9.8%
Pepperdine: 43.1%
vs
Lincoln University (CA): 33.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LINCOLNCA Score
56.0
76
PEPP Score
91.0
113
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.0 / 29.1
33.0 / 44.0
Assists
14.2 / 10.9
26.0 / 13.0
Blocks
2.9 / 1.2
3.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
43.1 / 33.2
60.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
77.9 / 74.2
75.0 / 55.0
Rebounding
34.3 / 22.0
55.0 / 16.0
Steals
5.7 / 6.1
8.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
10.8 / 19.0
11.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LINCOLNCA
--
PEPP
Advantage
9-23-0
(28.1%)
Margin: -7.3
ATS +/-: -0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LINCOLNCA
--
PEPP
Advantage
14-16-0
(46.7%)
Margin: -7.3
ATS +/-: -0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
LINCOLNCA
--
PEPP
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +2.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PEPP
LINCOLNCA
PEPP
LINCOLNCA
ML
62%
20-12
67%
2-1
69%
22-10
100%
3-0
ATS
56%
18-14
67%
2-1
69%
22-10
100%
3-0
TTL
50%
16-16
33%
1-2
100%
32-0
100%
3-0