VASSAR
BREWERSVASSA
0-0 | Road
61
MARIST
RED FOXESMRST
2-1 | Home
93
AI Model Win Probability
BREWERS
100%
RED FOXES
0%
BREWERS
--
RED FOXES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
134.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-34.0
MARIST
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +34.0 points (Marist)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MRST -34.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MRST)
VASSA By 1-7 points
0.0%
VASSA By 8-14 points
0.0%
MRST By 1-7 points
0.4%
MRST By 8-14 points
2.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Vassar
50
VASSAR
Marist
84
MARIST
Simulated Score
Vassar
47
VASSAR
Marist
88
MARIST
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Red Foxes
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Red Foxes
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Red Foxes (+7.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -34.0
D
Sim
Red Foxes (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -41.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u149.5
Loss
Proj Total: 134.0
D
Sim
u149.5
Win
Proj Total: 135.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 12, 2025
VASSA @ MRST
61 - 93
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+73.5% more
Marist: 15.0
vs
Vassar: 8.7
Steals (L5)
+47.7% more
Marist: 8.9
vs
Vassar: 6.0
Rebounding (L5)
+29.4% more
Marist: 35.8
vs
Vassar: 27.7
Field Goal % (L5)
+12.8%
Marist: 42.1%
vs
Vassar: 29.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
VASSA Score
50.0
61
MRST Score
84.0
93
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
27.9 / 29.7
46.0 / 20.0
Assists
15.0 / 8.7
24.0 / 10.0
Blocks
3.6 / 3.3
3.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
42.1 / 29.3
55.0 / 39.0
Free Throw %
78.6 / 69.0
90.0 / 60.0
Rebounding
35.8 / 27.7
44.0 / 27.0
Steals
8.9 / 6.0
5.0 / 2.0
Turnovers
13.2 / 20.0
9.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
VASSA
--
MRST
Advantage
19-12-0
(61.3%)
Margin: 5.8
ATS +/-: +1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
VASSA
--
MRST
Advantage
15-13-1
(53.6%)
Margin: 5.8
ATS +/-: +1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
VASSA
--
MRST
11-18-0
O: 37.9% / U: 62.1%
Total +/-: -3.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MRST
VASSA
MRST
VASSA
ML
55%
17-14
100%
1-0
61%
19-12
100%
1-0
ATS
74%
23-8
100%
1-0
61%
19-12
100%
1-0
TTL
52%
16-15
0%
0-1
100%
31-0
100%
1-0
Contextual Game News
