Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Skyhawks @ Owls PONT @ KENN

POINT UNIVERSITY

SKYHAWKSPONT

0-0  |  Road

60
FINAL
Wed, Nov 12 • 7:00 PM ET
KSU Convocation Center
View Odds Details →

KENNESAW STATE

OWLSKENN

3-0  |  Home

111
AI Model Win Probability
SKYHAWKS
100%
📊
OWLS
0%
SKYHAWKS --
OWLS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
141.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-31.0
KENNESAW STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +31.0 points (Kennesaw State)
SkyhawksPONT (-3.5) 0 OwlsKENN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Skyhawks Cover

0.1%

Owls Cover

99.9%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around KENN -31.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (KENN)

PONT By 1-7 points

0.1%

PONT By 8-14 points

0.0%

KENN By 1-7 points

0.8%

KENN By 8-14 points

4.0%

AI Model Projected Score
55
POINT UNIVERSITY
86
KENNESAW STATE
Simulated Score
58
POINT UNIVERSITY
92
KENNESAW STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Owls Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Owls Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Owls (+7.5) Win
Proj Spread: -31.0
D
Sim Owls (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -34.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u149.5 Loss
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Sim u149.5 Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 12, 2025 PONT @ KENN 60 - 111
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +433.0% more
Kennesaw State: 4.3 vs Point University: 0.0
Steals (L5) +34.0% more
Kennesaw State: 6.7 vs Point University: 5.0
Rebounding (L5) +25.3% more
Kennesaw State: 41.4 vs Point University: 33.0
Assists (L5) +24.3% more
Kennesaw State: 14.9 vs Point University: 12.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
PONT Score 55.0 60
KENN Score 86.0 111
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 40.6 / 30.0 42.0 / 39.0
Assists 14.9 / 12.0 23.0 / 5.0
Blocks 4.3 / 0.0 4.0 / 0.0
Field Goal % 50.7 / 34.0 52.0 / 29.0
Free Throw % 74.4 / 64.0 44.0 / 76.0
Rebounding 41.4 / 33.0 63.0 / 32.0
Steals 6.7 / 5.0 12.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 12.2 / 20.0 9.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PONT
--
KENN Advantage
21-14-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 6.8 ATS +/-: +0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PONT
--
KENN Advantage
15-16-1 (48.4%)
Margin: 6.8 ATS +/-: +0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
PONT
--
KENN
14-17-1
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8% Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
KENN
PONT
KENN
PONT
ML
74% 25-9
100% 1-0
72% 23-9
100% 1-0
ATS
71% 24-10
100% 1-0
73% 24-9
100% 1-0
TTL
56% 19-15
0% 0-1
100% 33-0
100% 1-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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