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BLUEFIELD STATE

BIG BLUESBLUEF

0-0  |  Road

61
FINAL
Wed, Nov 12 • 7:00 PM ET
McDougald-McLendon Arena
View Odds Details →

NORTH CAROLINA CENTRAL

EAGLESNCCU

1-3  |  Home

77
AI Model Win Probability
BIG BLUES
0%
📊
EAGLES
100%
BIG BLUES --
EAGLES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
138.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-14.0
BLUEFIELD STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +14.0 points (Bluefield State)
Big BluesBLUEF (-3.5) 0 EaglesNCCU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Big Blues Cover

91.9%

Eagles Cover

8.1%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around BLUEF -14.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BLUEF)

BLUEF By 1-7 points

16.9%

BLUEF By 8-14 points

26.2%

NCCU By 1-7 points

5.8%

NCCU By 8-14 points

1.4%

AI Model Projected Score
76
BLUEFIELD STATE
62
NORTH CAROLINA CENTRAL
Simulated Score
60
BLUEFIELD STATE
85
NORTH CAROLINA CENTRAL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Big Blues Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Eagles Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Big Blues (+7.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -14.0
D
Sim Eagles (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -25.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u149.5 Win
Proj Total: 138.0
D
Sim u149.5 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 12, 2025 BLUEF @ NCCU 61 - 77
Nov 21, 2019 BLUEF @ NCCU 44 - 68
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +38.5% more
Bluefield State: 20.8 vs North Carolina Central: 12.8
Blocks (L5) +34.1% more
Bluefield State: 2.7 vs North Carolina Central: 1.8
Rebounding (L5) +30.2% more
Bluefield State: 41.2 vs North Carolina Central: 28.8
Assists (L5) +41.6% more
North Carolina Central: 11.3 vs Bluefield State: 8.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BLUEF Score 76.0 61
NCCU Score 62.0 77
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.3 / 14.6 48.0 / 50.0
Assists 11.3 / 8.0 17.0 / 10.0
Blocks 1.8 / 2.7 3.0 / 6.0
Field Goal % 37.4 / 32.6 45.0 / 47.0
Free Throw % 80.7 / 60.9 58.0 / 62.0
Rebounding 28.8 / 41.2 31.0 / 33.0
Steals 5.8 / 4.2 16.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 12.8 / 20.8 9.0 / 23.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BLUEF
--
NCCU Advantage
14-18-0 (43.8%)
Margin: -3.6 ATS +/-: -1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BLUEF
--
NCCU Advantage
15-13-0 (53.6%)
Margin: -3.6 ATS +/-: -1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
BLUEF
--
NCCU
13-15-0
O: 46.4% / U: 53.6% Total +/-: +2.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NCCU
BLUEF
NCCU
BLUEF
ML
65% 20-11
0% 0-1
81% 22-5
100% 1-0
ATS
71% 22-9
0% 0-1
81% 22-5
100% 1-0
TTL
55% 17-14
100% 1-0
100% 27-0
100% 1-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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