EMMANUEL (MA)
LIONSECMA
0-0 | Road
69
NEW HAMPSHIRE
WILDCATSUNH
2-2 | Home
97
AI Model Win Probability
LIONS
100%
WILDCATS
0%
LIONS
--
WILDCATS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
149.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-29.0
NEW HAMPSHIRE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +29.0 points (New Hampshire)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UNH -29.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UNH)
ECMA By 1-7 points
0.1%
ECMA By 8-14 points
0.0%
UNH By 1-7 points
1.4%
UNH By 8-14 points
5.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Emmanuel (MA)
60
EMMANUEL (MA)
New Hampshire
89
NEW HAMPSHIRE
Simulated Score
Emmanuel (MA)
52
EMMANUEL (MA)
New Hampshire
85
NEW HAMPSHIRE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Wildcats
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Wildcats
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Wildcats (+7.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -29.0
D
Sim
Wildcats (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -33.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u149.5
Loss
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Sim
u149.5
Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 12, 2025
ECMA @ UNH
69 - 97
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+9.9% more
New Hampshire: 38.5
vs
Emmanuel (MA): 35.0
Field Goal % (L5)
+9.3%
New Hampshire: 42.0%
vs
Emmanuel (MA): 32.7%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+3.3%
New Hampshire: 33.7%
vs
Emmanuel (MA): 30.3%
Blocks (L5)
+49.0% more
Emmanuel (MA): 4.3
vs
New Hampshire: 2.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ECMA Score
60.0
69
UNH Score
89.0
97
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.7 / 30.3
31.0 / 35.0
Assists
13.2 / 14.0
16.0 / 13.0
Blocks
2.2 / 4.3
5.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
42.0 / 32.7
52.0 / 48.0
Free Throw %
73.2 / 75.0
76.0 / 50.0
Rebounding
38.5 / 35.0
42.0 / 26.0
Steals
7.3 / 9.0
5.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
12.3 / 14.3
7.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ECMA
--
UNH
Advantage
9-21-0
(30.0%)
Margin: -5.4
ATS +/-: -2.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ECMA
--
UNH
Advantage
12-16-0
(42.9%)
Margin: -5.4
ATS +/-: -2.3
⚖️ Over/Under
ECMA
--
UNH
15-13-0
O: 53.6% / U: 46.4%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UNH
ECMA
UNH
ECMA
ML
70%
19-8
100%
1-0
74%
20-7
100%
1-0
ATS
67%
18-9
100%
1-0
74%
20-7
100%
1-0
TTL
59%
16-11
0%
0-1
100%
27-0
100%
1-0
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