WEBSTER
GORLOKSWEBST
0-0 | Road
41
SOUTHEAST MISSOURI STATE
REDHAWKSSEMO
1-2 | Home
87
AI Model Win Probability
GORLOKS
0%
REDHAWKS
100%
GORLOKS
--
REDHAWKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
141.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-15.0
WEBSTER
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +15.0 points (Webster)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around WEBST -15.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WEBST)
WEBST By 1-7 points
15.3%
WEBST By 8-14 points
25.3%
SEMO By 1-7 points
4.8%
SEMO By 8-14 points
1.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Webster
78
WEBSTER
Southeast Missouri State
63
SOUTHEAST MISSOURI STATE
Simulated Score
Webster
55
WEBSTER
Southeast Missouri State
88
SOUTHEAST MISSOURI STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Gorloks
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Redhawks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Gorloks (+7.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Sim
Redhawks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -33.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u149.5
Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Sim
u149.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 12, 2025
WEBST @ SEMO
41 - 87
Dec 4, 2021
WEBST @ SEMO
64 - 76
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+35.8% more
Webster: 19.3
vs
Southeast Missouri State: 12.4
Rebounding (L5)
+18.0% more
Webster: 38.7
vs
Southeast Missouri State: 31.7
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+8.0%
Webster: 37.3%
vs
Southeast Missouri State: 29.3%
Steals (L5)
+86.9% more
Southeast Missouri State: 8.7
vs
Webster: 4.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WEBST Score
78.0
41
SEMO Score
63.0
87
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
29.3 / 37.3
29.0 / 19.0
Assists
11.2 / 10.0
24.0 / 7.0
Blocks
2.5 / 1.7
5.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
41.2 / 38.0
52.0 / 27.0
Free Throw %
75.7 / 67.0
59.0 / 75.0
Rebounding
31.7 / 38.7
38.0 / 29.0
Steals
8.7 / 4.7
10.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
12.4 / 19.3
7.0 / 20.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WEBST
--
SEMO
Advantage
20-13-0
(60.6%)
Margin: 3.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WEBST
--
SEMO
Advantage
14-16-0
(46.7%)
Margin: 3.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
WEBST
--
SEMO
13-17-0
O: 43.3% / U: 56.7%
Total +/-: -2.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SEMO
WEBST
SEMO
WEBST
ML
64%
21-12
50%
1-1
50%
15-15
100%
2-0
ATS
67%
22-11
50%
1-1
50%
15-15
100%
2-0
TTL
58%
19-14
50%
1-1
100%
30-0
100%
2-0
