AI Model Win Probability
SAINTS
0%
BISON
100%
SAINTS
--
BISON
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
103.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.0
ST. SCHOLASTICA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.0 points (St. Scholastica)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around SCHOLA -11.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SCHOLA)
SCHOLA By 1-7 points
21.6%
SCHOLA By 8-14 points
27.4%
NDSU By 1-7 points
9.3%
NDSU By 8-14 points
2.7%
AI Model Projected Score
St. Scholastica
57
ST. SCHOLASTICA
North Dakota State
46
NORTH DAKOTA STATE
Simulated Score
St. Scholastica
48
ST. SCHOLASTICA
North Dakota State
92
NORTH DAKOTA STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Saints
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bison
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Saints (+7.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Sim
Bison (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -44.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u149.5
Win
Proj Total: 103.0
D
Sim
u149.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 12, 2025
SCHOLA @ NDSU
38 - 111
Key Model Drivers
No driver metrics compiled for this game.
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SCHOLA Score
57.0
38
NDSU Score
46.0
111
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
25.0 / 0.0
56.0 / 21.0
Assists
13.8 / 0.0
29.0 / 5.0
Blocks
4.6 / 0.0
6.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
40.9 / 0.0
63.0 / 25.0
Free Throw %
79.4 / 0.0
83.0 / 53.0
Rebounding
39.0 / 0.0
39.0 / 25.0
Steals
8.8 / 0.0
13.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
10.3 / 0.0
8.0 / 25.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SCHOLA
--
NDSU
Advantage
27-8-0
(77.1%)
Margin: 10.1
ATS +/-: +4.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SCHOLA
--
NDSU
Advantage
19-14-0
(57.6%)
Margin: 10.1
ATS +/-: +4.5
⚖️ Over/Under
SCHOLA
--
NDSU
18-13-2
O: 58.1% / U: 41.9%
Total +/-: +2.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NDSU
SCHOLA
NDSU
SCHOLA
ML
49%
17-18
0%
0-1
59%
20-14
100%
1-0
ATS
54%
19-16
0%
0-1
59%
20-14
100%
1-0
TTL
43%
15-20
100%
1-0
100%
34-0
100%
1-0