WASHINGTON ADVENTIST
SHOCKWASHADV
0-0 | Road
83
NORTH CAROLINA A&T
AGGIESNCAT
2-1 | Home
89
AI Model Win Probability
SHOCK
50%
AGGIES
50%
SHOCK
--
AGGIES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
129.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
50%
Under 0
50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-39.0
NORTH CAROLINA A&T
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +39.0 points (North Carolina A&T)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NCAT -39.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NCAT)
WASHADV By 1-7 points
0.0%
WASHADV By 8-14 points
0.0%
NCAT By 1-7 points
0.1%
NCAT By 8-14 points
0.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Washington Adventist
45
WASHINGTON ADVENTIST
North Carolina A&T
84
NORTH CAROLINA A&T
Simulated Score
Washington Adventist
58
WASHINGTON ADVENTIST
North Carolina A&T
92
NORTH CAROLINA A&T
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
50% Win Prob
D
Sim
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Proj Spread: -39.0
D
Sim
Aggies (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -34.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
129
Proj Total: 129.0
D
Sim
o162.5
Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 13, 2025
WASHADV @ NCAT
83 - 89
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+166.9% more
North Carolina A&T: 3.6
vs
Washington Adventist: 1.3
Steals (L5)
+88.5% more
North Carolina A&T: 8.7
vs
Washington Adventist: 4.6
Rebounding (L5)
+8.2% more
North Carolina A&T: 37.9
vs
Washington Adventist: 35.0
Field Goal % (L5)
+4.2%
North Carolina A&T: 40.4%
vs
Washington Adventist: 36.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WASHADV Score
45.0
83
NCAT Score
84.0
89
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
28.5 / 30.6
23.0 / 41.0
Assists
11.7 / 11.1
14.0 / 10.0
Blocks
3.6 / 1.3
5.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
40.4 / 36.2
50.0 / 44.0
Free Throw %
72.8 / 73.3
56.0 / 82.0
Rebounding
37.9 / 35.0
42.0 / 36.0
Steals
8.7 / 4.6
12.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
14.5 / 14.0
13.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WASHADV
--
NCAT
Advantage
11-19-0
(36.7%)
Margin: -2.8
ATS +/-: +1.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WASHADV
--
NCAT
Advantage
16-12-0
(57.1%)
Margin: -2.8
ATS +/-: +1.5
⚖️ Over/Under
WASHADV
--
NCAT
16-12-0
O: 57.1% / U: 42.9%
Total +/-: +3.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NCAT
WASHADV
NCAT
WASHADV
ML
52%
14-13
--
0-0
63%
17-10
--
0-0
ATS
63%
17-10
--
0-0
64%
18-10
100%
2-0
TTL
69%
18-8-1
--
0-0
100%
28-0
100%
2-0
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