CENTRAL MICHIGAN
CHIPPEWASCMU
2-2 | Road
82
COPPIN STATE
EAGLESCOPP
0-5 | Home
59
AI Model Win Probability
CHIPPEWAS
100%
EAGLES
0%
CHIPPEWAS
--
EAGLES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
162.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-22.0
COPPIN STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +22.0 points (Coppin State)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around COPP -22.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COPP)
CMU By 1-7 points
1.1%
CMU By 8-14 points
0.1%
COPP By 1-7 points
5.8%
COPP By 8-14 points
15.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Central Michigan
70
CENTRAL MICHIGAN
Coppin State
92
COPPIN STATE
Simulated Score
Central Michigan
65
CENTRAL MICHIGAN
Coppin State
72
COPPIN STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Eagles
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Eagles
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Eagles (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -22.0
D
Sim
Eagles (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 162.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 14, 2025
CMU @ COPP
82 - 59
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+39.9% more
Coppin State: 17.3
vs
Central Michigan: 12.4
Steals (L5)
+11.3% more
Coppin State: 5.6
vs
Central Michigan: 5.1
Free Throw % (L5)
+1.8%
Coppin State: 73.7%
vs
Central Michigan: 71.9%
Blocks (L5)
+60.0% more
Central Michigan: 5.1
vs
Coppin State: 2.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CMU Score
70.0
82
COPP Score
92.0
59
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.5 / 31.2
21.0 / 33.0
Assists
11.4 / 13.0
8.0 / 13.0
Blocks
2.0 / 5.1
4.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
37.1 / 40.6
34.0 / 48.0
Free Throw %
73.7 / 71.9
72.0 / 73.0
Rebounding
30.1 / 37.9
34.0 / 45.0
Steals
5.6 / 5.1
6.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
17.3 / 12.4
13.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CMU
Advantage
10-21-0
(32.3%)
Margin: -3.5
ATS +/-: +1.4
COPP
7-24-0
(22.6%)
Margin: -14.9
ATS +/-: -1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CMU
Advantage
15-13-1
(53.6%)
Margin: -3.5
ATS +/-: +1.4
COPP
13-17-0
(43.3%)
Margin: -14.9
ATS +/-: -1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
CMU
13-16-0
O: 44.8% / U: 55.2%
Total +/-: +0.4
COPP
19-11-0
O: 63.3% / U: 36.7%
Total +/-: +2.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COPP
CMU
COPP
CMU
ML
65%
20-11
57%
17-13
79%
19-5
70%
21-9
ATS
68%
21-10
67%
20-10
79%
19-5
70%
21-9
TTL
52%
16-15
67%
20-10
100%
24-0
100%
30-0
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