ECCLESIA
ROYALSECCL
0-0 | Road
75
NORTHWESTERN STATE
DEMONSNWST
1-3 | Home
95
AI Model Win Probability
ROYALS
100%
DEMONS
0%
ROYALS
--
DEMONS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
179.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-65.0
NORTHWESTERN STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +65.0 points (Northwestern State)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NWST -65.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NWST)
ECCL By 1-7 points
0.0%
ECCL By 8-14 points
0.0%
NWST By 1-7 points
0.0%
NWST By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Ecclesia
57
ECCLESIA
Northwestern State
122
NORTHWESTERN STATE
Simulated Score
Ecclesia
53
ECCLESIA
Northwestern State
88
NORTHWESTERN STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Demons
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Demons
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Demons (-9.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -65.0
D
Sim
Demons (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -35.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o160.5
Win
Proj Total: 179.0
D
Sim
u160.5
Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 14, 2025
ECCL @ NWST
75 - 95
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+176.0% more
Northwestern State: 2.7
vs
Ecclesia: 0.9
Free Throw % (L5)
+25.9%
Northwestern State: 77.8%
vs
Ecclesia: 51.9%
Steals (L5)
+24.3% more
Northwestern State: 8.4
vs
Ecclesia: 6.8
Rebounding (L5)
+17.1% more
Northwestern State: 28.4
vs
Ecclesia: 24.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ECCL Score
57.0
75
NWST Score
122.0
95
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.0 / 25.9
30.0 / 46.0
Assists
11.2 / 10.6
22.0 / 14.0
Blocks
2.7 / 0.9
4.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
42.5 / 34.7
51.0 / 49.0
Free Throw %
77.8 / 51.9
75.0 / 46.0
Rebounding
28.4 / 24.2
41.0 / 28.0
Steals
8.4 / 6.8
9.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
13.3 / 24.9
9.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ECCL
--
NWST
Advantage
10-22-0
(31.3%)
Margin: -4.1
ATS +/-: +0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ECCL
--
NWST
Advantage
16-13-1
(55.2%)
Margin: -4.1
ATS +/-: +0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
ECCL
--
NWST
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -2.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NWST
ECCL
NWST
ECCL
ML
68%
21-10
60%
3-2
77%
23-7
100%
5-0
ATS
68%
21-10
60%
3-2
77%
23-7
100%
5-0
TTL
39%
12-19
100%
5-0
100%
30-0
100%
5-0
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