AI Model Win Probability
SHOREMEN
100%
MIDSHIPMEN
0%
SHOREMEN
--
MIDSHIPMEN
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
143.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-57.0
NAVY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +57.0 points (Navy)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NAVY -57.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NAVY)
WCMD By 1-7 points
0.0%
WCMD By 8-14 points
0.0%
NAVY By 1-7 points
0.0%
NAVY By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Washington College (MD)
43
WASHINGTON COLLEGE (MD)
Navy
100
NAVY
Simulated Score
Washington College (MD)
52
WASHINGTON COLLEGE (MD)
Navy
89
NAVY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Midshipmen
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Midshipmen
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Midshipmen (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -57.0
D
Sim
Midshipmen (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -37.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 14, 2025
WCMD @ NAVY
64 - 97
Nov 25, 2024
WCMD @ NAVY
43 - 94
Dec 17, 2023
WCMD @ NAVY
33 - 91
Dec 18, 2022
WCMD @ NAVY
54 - 93
Nov 24, 2021
WCMD @ NAVY
40 - 89
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+71.6% more
Navy: 8.3
vs
Washington College (MD): 4.8
Assists (L5)
+52.5% more
Navy: 13.9
vs
Washington College (MD): 9.1
Blocks (L5)
+29.6% more
Navy: 2.5
vs
Washington College (MD): 1.9
Rebounding (L5)
+17.1% more
Navy: 30.7
vs
Washington College (MD): 26.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WCMD Score
43.0
64
NAVY Score
100.0
97
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.9 / 25.5
44.0 / 31.0
Assists
13.9 / 9.1
24.0 / 13.0
Blocks
2.5 / 1.9
1.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
45.3 / 31.1
60.0 / 41.0
Free Throw %
80.8 / 66.4
75.0 / 67.0
Rebounding
30.7 / 26.2
44.0 / 19.0
Steals
8.3 / 4.8
9.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
13.8 / 17.2
14.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WCMD
--
NAVY
Advantage
26-8-0
(76.5%)
Margin: 10.3
ATS +/-: +3.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WCMD
--
NAVY
Advantage
20-11-1
(64.5%)
Margin: 10.3
ATS +/-: +3.7
⚖️ Over/Under
WCMD
--
NAVY
15-17-0
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1%
Total +/-: -1.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NAVY
WCMD
NAVY
WCMD
ML
79%
26-7
100%
2-0
55%
18-15
100%
2-0
ATS
73%
24-9
100%
2-0
55%
18-15
100%
2-0
TTL
73%
24-9
100%
2-0
100%
33-0
100%
2-0