KANSAS CITY
ROOSKC
1-3 | Road
55
TEXAS
LONGHORNSTEX
3-1 | Home
71
AI Model Win Probability
ROOS
0%
LONGHORNS
100%
ROOS
--
LONGHORNS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
111.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-17.0
KANSAS CITY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +17.0 points (Kansas City)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around KC -17.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (KC)
KC By 1-7 points
12.2%
KC By 8-14 points
23.0%
TEX By 1-7 points
3.3%
TEX By 8-14 points
0.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Kansas City
64
KANSAS CITY
Texas
47
TEXAS
Simulated Score
Kansas City
65
KANSAS CITY
Texas
78
TEXAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Roos
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Longhorns
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Roos (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Sim
Longhorns (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 111.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 15, 2025
KC @ TEX
55 - 71
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+26.0% more
Kansas City: 13.9
vs
Texas: 10.3
Steals (L5)
+14.8% more
Kansas City: 7.1
vs
Texas: 6.1
Blocks (L5)
+152.4% more
Texas: 4.1
vs
Kansas City: 1.6
Rebounding (L5)
+18.9% more
Texas: 43.7
vs
Kansas City: 36.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
KC Score
64.0
55
TEX Score
47.0
71
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.7 / 29.2
18.0 / 7.0
Assists
12.8 / 12.2
11.0 / 6.0
Blocks
4.1 / 1.6
3.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
47.2 / 44.0
39.0 / 37.0
Free Throw %
69.3 / 69.0
61.0 / 75.0
Rebounding
43.7 / 36.7
51.0 / 35.0
Steals
6.1 / 7.1
2.0 / 1.0
Turnovers
10.3 / 13.9
5.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
KC
4-27-0
(12.9%)
Margin: -14.5
ATS +/-: -6.4
TEX
Advantage
21-15-0
(58.3%)
Margin: 6.6
ATS +/-: +0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
KC
5-23-0
(17.9%)
Margin: -14.5
ATS +/-: -6.4
TEX
Advantage
20-15-0
(57.1%)
Margin: 6.6
ATS +/-: +0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
KC
16-12-0
O: 57.1% / U: 42.9%
Total +/-: +0.1
TEX
20-15-0
O: 57.1% / U: 42.9%
Total +/-: +2.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TEX
KC
TEX
KC
ML
58%
21-15
63%
19-11
56%
19-15
67%
20-10
ATS
56%
20-16
67%
20-10
56%
19-15
67%
20-10
TTL
64%
23-13
70%
21-9
100%
34-0
100%
30-0
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