BOYCE
BULLDOGSBOY
0-0 | Road
68
PURDUE FORT WAYNE
MASTODONSPFW
2-3 | Home
118
AI Model Win Probability
BULLDOGS
100%
MASTODONS
0%
BULLDOGS
--
MASTODONS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
137.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-63.0
PURDUE FORT WAYNE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +63.0 points (Purdue Fort Wayne)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around PFW -63.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PFW)
BOY By 1-7 points
0.0%
BOY By 8-14 points
0.0%
PFW By 1-7 points
0.0%
PFW By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Boyce
37
BOYCE
Purdue Fort Wayne
100
PURDUE FORT WAYNE
Simulated Score
Boyce
45
BOYCE
Purdue Fort Wayne
98
PURDUE FORT WAYNE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Mastodons
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Mastodons
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Mastodons (+8.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -63.0
D
Sim
Mastodons (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -53.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u149.5
Loss
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Sim
u149.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 15, 2025
BOY @ PFW
68 - 118
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+191.3% more
Purdue Fort Wayne: 11.4
vs
Boyce: 3.9
Blocks (L5)
+112.4% more
Purdue Fort Wayne: 3.4
vs
Boyce: 1.6
Assists (L5)
+108.2% more
Purdue Fort Wayne: 17.0
vs
Boyce: 8.2
Field Goal % (L5)
+13.6%
Purdue Fort Wayne: 45.8%
vs
Boyce: 32.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BOY Score
37.0
68
PFW Score
100.0
118
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.8 / 28.4
39.0 / 27.0
Assists
17.0 / 8.2
15.0 / 8.0
Blocks
3.4 / 1.6
4.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
45.8 / 32.2
58.0 / 42.0
Free Throw %
75.4 / 63.2
68.0 / 58.0
Rebounding
32.4 / 28.9
49.0 / 27.0
Steals
11.4 / 3.9
14.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
10.1 / 17.0
9.0 / 21.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BOY
--
PFW
Advantage
17-15-0
(53.1%)
Margin: 1.0
ATS +/-: -3.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BOY
--
PFW
Advantage
12-17-0
(41.4%)
Margin: 1.0
ATS +/-: -3.0
⚖️ Over/Under
BOY
--
PFW
16-13-0
O: 55.2% / U: 44.8%
Total +/-: -0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PFW
BOY
PFW
BOY
ML
59%
19-13
100%
1-0
74%
23-8
100%
1-0
ATS
62%
20-12
100%
1-0
74%
23-8
100%
1-0
TTL
59%
19-13
0%
0-1
100%
31-0
100%
1-0
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