AI Model Win Probability
LIONS
100%
BISONS
0%
LIONS
--
BISONS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
157.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-57.0
LIPSCOMB
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +57.0 points (Lipscomb)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LIP -57.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LIP)
BRTN By 1-7 points
0.0%
BRTN By 8-14 points
0.0%
LIP By 1-7 points
0.0%
LIP By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Bryan (TN)
50
BRYAN (TN)
Lipscomb
107
LIPSCOMB
Simulated Score
Bryan (TN)
58
BRYAN (TN)
Lipscomb
92
LIPSCOMB
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bisons
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bisons
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bisons (+8.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -57.0
D
Sim
Bisons (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -34.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o149.5
Win
Proj Total: 157.0
D
Sim
u149.5
Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 15, 2025
BRTN @ LIP
53 - 98
Dec 20, 2023
BRTN @ LIP
55 - 101
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+34.8% more
Lipscomb: 2.5
vs
Bryan (TN): 1.9
Assists (L5)
+30.4% more
Lipscomb: 14.9
vs
Bryan (TN): 11.5
Free Throw % (L5)
+16.9%
Lipscomb: 82.2%
vs
Bryan (TN): 65.3%
Steals (L5)
+13.2% more
Lipscomb: 6.1
vs
Bryan (TN): 5.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BRTN Score
50.0
53
LIP Score
107.0
98
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
29.5 / 33.3
31.0 / 33.0
Assists
14.9 / 11.5
23.0 / 10.0
Blocks
2.5 / 1.9
9.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
39.6 / 37.7
49.0 / 31.0
Free Throw %
82.2 / 65.3
83.0 / 70.0
Rebounding
33.1 / 32.3
48.0 / 35.0
Steals
6.1 / 5.4
11.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
12.0 / 21.3
9.0 / 21.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BRTN
--
LIP
Advantage
19-13-0
(59.4%)
Margin: 3.9
ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BRTN
--
LIP
Advantage
14-16-0
(46.7%)
Margin: 3.9
ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
BRTN
--
LIP
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LIP
BRTN
LIP
BRTN
ML
71%
22-9
100%
4-0
66%
19-10
100%
4-0
ATS
71%
22-9
100%
4-0
66%
19-10
100%
4-0
TTL
58%
18-13
100%
4-0
100%
29-0
100%
4-0