CHRISTIAN BROTHERS
BUCCANEERSCTBR
0-0 | Road
67
ARKANSAS STATE
RED WOLVESARST
3-1 | Home
95
AI Model Win Probability
BUCCANEERS
100%
RED WOLVES
0%
BUCCANEERS
--
RED WOLVES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
77.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
ARKANSAS STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Arkansas State)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around ARST -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ARST)
CTBR By 1-7 points
24.3%
CTBR By 8-14 points
13.7%
ARST By 1-7 points
26.2%
ARST By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Christian Brothers
38
CHRISTIAN BROTHERS
Arkansas State
39
ARKANSAS STATE
Simulated Score
Christian Brothers
60
CHRISTIAN BROTHERS
Arkansas State
92
ARKANSAS STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Red Wolves
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Red Wolves
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Red Wolves (+16.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Red Wolves (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -32.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u149.0
Loss
Proj Total: 77.0
D
Sim
u149.0
Win
Proj Total: 152.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 15, 2025
CTBR @ ARST
67 - 95
Key Model Drivers
No driver metrics compiled for this game.
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CTBR Score
38.0
67
ARST Score
39.0
95
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
27.7 / 0.0
29.0 / 19.0
Assists
12.4 / 0.0
21.0 / 8.0
Blocks
2.0 / 0.0
0.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
41.7 / 0.0
57.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
78.1 / 0.0
59.0 / 77.0
Rebounding
37.6 / 0.0
38.0 / 30.0
Steals
7.5 / 0.0
7.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
13.5 / 0.0
7.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CTBR
--
ARST
Advantage
20-12-0
(62.5%)
Margin: 5.8
ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CTBR
--
ARST
Advantage
15-15-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 5.8
ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
CTBR
--
ARST
15-14-1
O: 51.7% / U: 48.3%
Total +/-: +2.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ARST
CTBR
ARST
CTBR
ML
48%
15-16
100%
1-0
53%
16-14
100%
1-0
ATS
58%
18-13
100%
1-0
53%
16-14
100%
1-0
TTL
61%
19-12
0%
0-1
100%
30-0
100%
1-0
