CUMBERLAND (KY)
PATRIOTSCUMB
0-0 | Road
73
NORTHERN KENTUCKY
NORSENKU
2-2 | Home
101
AI Model Win Probability
PATRIOTS
100%
NORSE
0%
PATRIOTS
--
NORSE
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
142.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-54.0
NORTHERN KENTUCKY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +54.0 points (Northern Kentucky)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NKU -54.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NKU)
CUMB By 1-7 points
0.0%
CUMB By 8-14 points
0.0%
NKU By 1-7 points
0.0%
NKU By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Cumberland (KY)
44
CUMBERLAND (KY)
Northern Kentucky
98
NORTHERN KENTUCKY
Simulated Score
Cumberland (KY)
54
CUMBERLAND (KY)
Northern Kentucky
92
NORTHERN KENTUCKY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Norse
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Norse
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Norse (-10.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -54.0
D
Sim
Norse (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -38.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u169.5
Loss
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Sim
u169.5
Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 16, 2025
CUMB @ NKU
73 - 101
Dec 11, 2024
CUMB @ NKU
79 - 98
Dec 14, 2023
CUMB @ NKU
59 - 94
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+131.6% more
Northern Kentucky: 3.1
vs
Cumberland (KY): 1.3
Rebounding (L5)
+48.4% more
Northern Kentucky: 35.8
vs
Cumberland (KY): 24.1
Assists (L5)
+47.7% more
Northern Kentucky: 14.3
vs
Cumberland (KY): 9.7
Steals (L5)
+40.9% more
Northern Kentucky: 10.2
vs
Cumberland (KY): 7.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CUMB Score
44.0
73
NKU Score
98.0
101
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.9 / 22.9
48.0 / 31.0
Assists
14.3 / 9.7
19.0 / 10.0
Blocks
3.1 / 1.3
0.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
42.8 / 38.9
59.0 / 39.0
Free Throw %
62.3 / 62.6
58.0 / 71.0
Rebounding
35.8 / 24.1
36.0 / 40.0
Steals
10.2 / 7.2
13.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
15.4 / 12.9
9.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CUMB
--
NKU
Advantage
20-14-0
(58.8%)
Margin: 5.7
ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CUMB
--
NKU
Advantage
13-18-0
(41.9%)
Margin: 5.7
ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
CUMB
--
NKU
21-10-0
O: 67.7% / U: 32.3%
Total +/-: +5.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NKU
CUMB
NKU
CUMB
ML
53%
18-16
100%
1-0
65%
22-12
100%
1-0
ATS
56%
19-15
100%
1-0
65%
22-12
100%
1-0
TTL
68%
23-11
0%
0-1
100%
34-0
100%
1-0
