AI Model Win Probability
DUHAWKS
100%
SCREAMING EAGLES
0%
DUHAWKS
--
SCREAMING EAGLES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
136.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-22.0
SOUTHERN INDIANA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +22.0 points (Southern Indiana)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around USI -22.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (USI)
LOR By 1-7 points
1.1%
LOR By 8-14 points
0.1%
USI By 1-7 points
5.8%
USI By 8-14 points
15.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Loras
57
LORAS
Southern Indiana
79
SOUTHERN INDIANA
Simulated Score
Loras
63
LORAS
Southern Indiana
87
SOUTHERN INDIANA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Screaming Eagles
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Screaming Eagles
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Screaming Eagles (-10.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -22.0
D
Sim
Screaming Eagles (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -24.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u169.5
Win
Proj Total: 136.0
D
Sim
u169.5
Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 16, 2025
LOR @ USI
74 - 91
Nov 18, 2022
LOR @ USI
55 - 87
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+151.0% more
Southern Indiana: 5.0
vs
Loras: 2.0
Rebounding (L5)
+31.8% more
Southern Indiana: 37.8
vs
Loras: 28.7
Assists (L5)
+26.7% more
Southern Indiana: 10.6
vs
Loras: 8.3
Free Throw % (L5)
+9.0%
Southern Indiana: 78.0%
vs
Loras: 69.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LOR Score
57.0
74
USI Score
79.0
91
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
27.8 / 39.3
58.0 / 41.0
Assists
10.6 / 8.3
16.0 / 11.0
Blocks
5.0 / 2.0
3.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
35.7 / 30.3
53.0 / 41.0
Free Throw %
78.0 / 69.0
44.0 / 77.0
Rebounding
37.8 / 28.7
42.0 / 35.0
Steals
6.5 / 8.0
10.0 / 11.0
Turnovers
12.6 / 17.0
19.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LOR
--
USI
Advantage
7-23-0
(23.3%)
Margin: -5.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LOR
--
USI
Advantage
11-16-1
(40.7%)
Margin: -5.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
LOR
--
USI
11-17-0
O: 39.3% / U: 60.7%
Total +/-: -3.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
USI
LOR
USI
LOR
ML
67%
20-10
100%
1-0
61%
17-11
100%
1-0
ATS
70%
21-9
100%
1-0
61%
17-11
100%
1-0
TTL
73%
22-8
100%
1-0
100%
28-0
100%
1-0