MIAMI
HURRICANESMIA
3-1 | Road
68
FLORIDA
GATORSFLA
3-1 | Home
82
AI Model Win Probability
HURRICANES
100%
GATORS
0%
HURRICANES
--
GATORS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
133.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-19.0
FLORIDA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +19.0 points (Florida)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around FLA -19.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FLA)
MIA By 1-7 points
2.2%
MIA By 8-14 points
0.4%
FLA By 1-7 points
9.3%
FLA By 8-14 points
20.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Miami
57
MIAMI
Florida
76
FLORIDA
Simulated Score
Miami
75
MIAMI
Florida
78
FLORIDA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Gators
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Gators
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Gators (-4.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -19.0
D
Sim
Gators (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u156.5
Win
Proj Total: 133.0
D
Sim
u156.5
Win
Proj Total: 153.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 16, 2025
MIA @ FLA
68 - 82
Nov 22, 2019
MIA @ FLA
58 - 78
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+41.9% more
Florida: 5.4
vs
Miami: 3.8
Turnovers (L5)
+40.6% more
Florida: 15.3
vs
Miami: 10.9
Rebounding (L5)
+32.0% more
Florida: 51.3
vs
Miami: 38.9
Assists (L5)
+25.7% more
Miami: 21.3
vs
Florida: 15.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIA Score
57.0
68
FLA Score
76.0
82
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
24.5 / 34.3
32.0 / 29.0
Assists
15.8 / 21.3
15.0 / 13.0
Blocks
5.4 / 3.8
6.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
43.5 / 53.1
44.0 / 34.0
Free Throw %
70.4 / 71.0
66.0 / 56.0
Rebounding
51.3 / 38.9
50.0 / 42.0
Steals
7.1 / 8.6
5.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
15.3 / 10.9
16.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIA
26-9-0
(74.3%)
Margin: 10.3
ATS +/-: +1.3
FLA
Advantage
27-8-0
(77.1%)
Margin: 15.6
ATS +/-: +1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIA
Advantage
18-15-1
(54.6%)
Margin: 10.3
ATS +/-: +1.3
FLA
18-17-0
(51.4%)
Margin: 15.6
ATS +/-: +1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
MIA
21-12-1
O: 63.6% / U: 36.4%
Total +/-: +0.4
FLA
14-20-1
O: 41.2% / U: 58.8%
Total +/-: -1.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FLA
MIA
FLA
MIA
ML
77%
27-8
63%
22-13
63%
22-13
64%
21-12
ATS
69%
24-11
63%
22-13
63%
22-13
64%
21-12
TTL
63%
22-13
63%
22-13
100%
35-0
100%
33-0
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