Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Eagles @ Roadrunners SWCHRISTU @ UTSA

SOUTHWESTERN CHRISTIAN

EAGLESSWCHRISTU

0-0  |  Road

70
FINAL
Tue, Nov 18 • 12:00 PM ET
UTSA Convocation Center
View Odds Details →

UTSA

ROADRUNNERSUTSA

3-2  |  Home

103
AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
50%
📊
ROADRUNNERS
50%
EAGLES --
ROADRUNNERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
110.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 50%
Under 0 50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-42.0
UTSA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +42.0 points (UTSA)
EaglesSWCHRISTU (-3.5) 0 RoadrunnersUTSA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Eagles Cover

0.0%

Roadrunners Cover

100.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UTSA -42.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UTSA)

SWCHRISTU By 1-7 points

0.0%

SWCHRISTU By 8-14 points

0.0%

UTSA By 1-7 points

0.0%

UTSA By 8-14 points

0.3%

AI Model Projected Score
34
SOUTHWESTERN CHRISTIAN
76
UTSA
Simulated Score
61
SOUTHWESTERN CHRISTIAN
92
UTSA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
50% Win Prob
D
Sim
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Proj Spread: -42.0
D
Sim Roadrunners (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -31.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI 110
Proj Total: 110.0
D
Sim o0.0 Win
Proj Total: 153.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 18, 2025 SWCHRISTU @ UTSA 70 - 103
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +121.1% more
UTSA: 4.1 vs Southwestern Christian: 1.9
Rebounding (L5) +42.6% more
UTSA: 38.2 vs Southwestern Christian: 26.8
Free Throw % (L5) +7.0%
UTSA: 69.4% vs Southwestern Christian: 62.4%
Field Goal % (L5) +4.5%
UTSA: 43.7% vs Southwestern Christian: 39.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SWCHRISTU Score 34.0 70
UTSA Score 76.0 103
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 36.6 / 37.2 48.0 / 24.0
Assists 11.4 / 11.6 20.0 / 12.0
Blocks 4.1 / 1.9 1.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 43.7 / 39.1 53.0 / 42.0
Free Throw % 69.4 / 62.4 55.0 / 54.0
Rebounding 38.2 / 26.8 51.0 / 32.0
Steals 6.3 / 7.0 8.0 / 3.0
Turnovers 9.9 / 13.3 9.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SWCHRISTU
--
UTSA Advantage
5-25-0 (16.7%)
Margin: -11.3 ATS +/-: -3.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SWCHRISTU
--
UTSA Advantage
10-18-0 (35.7%)
Margin: -11.3 ATS +/-: -3.9
⚖️ Over/Under
SWCHRISTU
--
UTSA
14-14-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -1.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTSA
SWCHRISTU
UTSA
SWCHRISTU
ML
83% 24-5
-- 0-0
48% 14-15
-- 0-0
ATS
72% 21-8
-- 0-0
50% 15-15
100% 2-0
TTL
66% 19-10
-- 0-0
100% 30-0
100% 2-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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