MAINE-AUGUSTA
MOOSEMAI
0-0 | Road
68
DARTMOUTH
BIG GREENDART
1-3 | Home
113
AI Model Win Probability
MOOSE
0%
BIG GREEN
100%
MOOSE
--
BIG GREEN
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
137.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-61.0
MAINE-AUGUSTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +61.0 points (Maine-Augusta)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MAI -61.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MAI)
MAI By 1-7 points
0.0%
MAI By 8-14 points
0.0%
DART By 1-7 points
0.0%
DART By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Maine-Augusta
99
MAINE-AUGUSTA
Dartmouth
38
DARTMOUTH
Simulated Score
Maine-Augusta
51
MAINE-AUGUSTA
Dartmouth
92
DARTMOUTH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Moose
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Big Green
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Moose (+26.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -61.0
D
Sim
Big Green (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -41.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u142.5
Loss
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Sim
u142.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 18, 2025
MAI @ DART
68 - 113
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+26.7% more
Maine-Augusta: 6.7
vs
Dartmouth: 4.9
Blocks (L5)
+24.8% more
Maine-Augusta: 4.7
vs
Dartmouth: 3.5
Turnovers (L5)
+22.5% more
Maine-Augusta: 18.7
vs
Dartmouth: 14.5
Free Throw % (L5)
+2.1%
Maine-Augusta: 71.3%
vs
Dartmouth: 69.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MAI Score
99.0
68
DART Score
38.0
113
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.1 / 28.3
37.0 / 28.0
Assists
13.6 / 11.3
26.0 / 15.0
Blocks
3.5 / 4.7
6.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
41.1 / 39.3
50.0 / 39.0
Free Throw %
69.2 / 71.3
79.0 / 70.0
Rebounding
35.0 / 29.3
58.0 / 24.0
Steals
4.9 / 6.7
7.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
14.5 / 18.7
13.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MAI
--
DART
Advantage
11-16-0
(40.7%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MAI
--
DART
Advantage
11-14-0
(44.0%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
MAI
--
DART
12-13-0
O: 48.0% / U: 52.0%
Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DART
MAI
DART
MAI
ML
62%
16-10
0%
0-1
50%
13-13
100%
1-0
ATS
65%
17-9
0%
0-1
50%
13-13
100%
1-0
TTL
88%
23-3
0%
0-1
100%
26-0
100%
1-0
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