AI Model Win Probability
WOLVES
0%
HORNETS
100%
WOLVES
--
HORNETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
170.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-32.0
CHEYNEY (PA)
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +32.0 points (Cheyney (PA))
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CHEY -32.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHEY)
CHEY By 1-7 points
0.6%
CHEY By 8-14 points
3.3%
DSU By 1-7 points
0.1%
DSU By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Cheyney (PA)
101
CHEYNEY (PA)
Delaware State
69
DELAWARE STATE
Simulated Score
Cheyney (PA)
52
CHEYNEY (PA)
Delaware State
88
DELAWARE STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Wolves
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hornets
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Wolves (+26.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -32.0
D
Sim
Hornets (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -36.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o142.5
Win
Proj Total: 170.0
D
Sim
u142.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 18, 2025
CHEY @ DSU
70 - 88
Nov 16, 2024
CHEY @ DSU
51 - 93
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+52.8% more
Cheyney (PA): 2.0
vs
Delaware State: 0.9
Turnovers (L5)
+42.6% more
Cheyney (PA): 20.7
vs
Delaware State: 11.9
Assists (L5)
+30.5% more
Delaware State: 8.7
vs
Cheyney (PA): 6.6
Rebounding (L5)
+21.4% more
Delaware State: 30.4
vs
Cheyney (PA): 25.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHEY Score
101.0
70
DSU Score
69.0
88
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
29.2 / 29.3
48.0 / 35.0
Assists
8.7 / 6.6
21.0 / 11.0
Blocks
0.9 / 2.0
4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
37.6 / 37.8
51.0 / 44.0
Free Throw %
71.9 / 55.8
68.0 / 67.0
Rebounding
30.4 / 25.1
40.0 / 25.0
Steals
8.0 / 7.8
10.0 / 11.0
Turnovers
11.9 / 20.7
14.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHEY
--
DSU
Advantage
8-23-0
(25.8%)
Margin: -9.3
ATS +/-: -3.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHEY
--
DSU
Advantage
9-17-0
(34.6%)
Margin: -9.3
ATS +/-: -3.1
⚖️ Over/Under
CHEY
--
DSU
7-19-0
O: 26.9% / U: 73.1%
Total +/-: -5.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DSU
CHEY
DSU
CHEY
ML
60%
18-12
50%
1-1
75%
18-6
100%
2-0
ATS
60%
18-12
100%
2-0
72%
18-7
100%
2-0
TTL
57%
17-13
100%
2-0
100%
25-0
100%
2-0