Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Wildcats @ Hilltoppers BETHTN @ WKU

BETHEL (TN)

WILDCATSBETHTN

0-0  |  Road

67
FINAL
Tue, Nov 18 • 7:30 PM ET
E.A. Diddle Arena
View Odds Details →

WESTERN KENTUCKY

HILLTOPPERSWKU

4-0  |  Home

97
AI Model Win Probability
WILDCATS
0%
📊
HILLTOPPERS
100%
WILDCATS --
HILLTOPPERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
147.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-47.0
BETHEL (TN)
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +47.0 points (Bethel (TN))
WildcatsBETHTN (-3.5) 0 HilltoppersWKU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Wildcats Cover

100.0%

Hilltoppers Cover

0.0%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around BETHTN -47.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BETHTN)

BETHTN By 1-7 points

0.0%

BETHTN By 8-14 points

0.1%

WKU By 1-7 points

0.0%

WKU By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
97
BETHEL (TN)
50
WESTERN KENTUCKY
Simulated Score
58
BETHEL (TN)
92
WESTERN KENTUCKY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Wildcats Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Hilltoppers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Wildcats (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -47.0
D
Sim Hilltoppers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -34.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 18, 2025 BETHTN @ WKU 67 - 97
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +63.0% more
Bethel (TN): 21.7 vs Western Kentucky: 8.0
Blocks (L5) +28.8% more
Bethel (TN): 3.3 vs Western Kentucky: 2.3
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +10.4%
Bethel (TN): 28.9% vs Western Kentucky: 18.5%
Steals (L5) +63.7% more
Western Kentucky: 8.7 vs Bethel (TN): 5.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BETHTN Score 97.0 67
WKU Score 50.0 97
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 18.5 / 28.9 44.0 / 23.0
Assists 12.7 / 10.7 16.0 / 9.0
Blocks 2.3 / 3.3 3.0 / 6.0
Field Goal % 45.9 / 36.5 43.0 / 33.0
Free Throw % 70.0 / 56.6 76.0 / 77.0
Rebounding 38.9 / 33.3 47.0 / 39.0
Steals 8.7 / 5.3 13.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 8.0 / 21.7 13.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BETHTN
--
WKU Advantage
18-14-0 (56.3%)
Margin: 3.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BETHTN
--
WKU Advantage
15-15-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 3.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
BETHTN
--
WKU
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +1.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WKU
BETHTN
WKU
BETHTN
ML
56% 18-14
0% 0-2
66% 21-11
100% 2-0
ATS
53% 17-15
0% 0-2
66% 21-11
100% 2-0
TTL
56% 18-14
100% 2-0
100% 32-0
100% 2-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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