EMBRY-RIDDLE (AZ)
EAGLESERAZ
0-0 | Road
79
NORTHERN ARIZONA
LUMBERJACKSNAU
2-2 | Home
108
AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
0%
LUMBERJACKS
100%
EAGLES
--
LUMBERJACKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
164.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-82.0
EMBRY-RIDDLE (AZ)
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +82.0 points (Embry-Riddle (AZ))
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around ERAZ -82.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ERAZ)
ERAZ By 1-7 points
0.0%
ERAZ By 8-14 points
0.0%
NAU By 1-7 points
0.0%
NAU By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Embry-Riddle (AZ)
123
EMBRY-RIDDLE (AZ)
Northern Arizona
41
NORTHERN ARIZONA
Simulated Score
Embry-Riddle (AZ)
61
EMBRY-RIDDLE (AZ)
Northern Arizona
92
NORTHERN ARIZONA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Eagles
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Lumberjacks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Eagles (+26.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -82.0
D
Sim
Lumberjacks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -31.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o142.5
Win
Proj Total: 164.0
D
Sim
u142.5
Win
Proj Total: 153.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 18, 2025
ERAZ @ NAU
79 - 108
Nov 19, 2024
ERAZ @ NAU
47 - 82
Jan 5, 2022
ERAZ @ NAU
54 - 101
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+18.7% more
Embry-Riddle (AZ): 14.3
vs
Northern Arizona: 11.7
Blocks (L5)
+109.0% more
Northern Arizona: 1.9
vs
Embry-Riddle (AZ): 0.8
Rebounding (L5)
+47.0% more
Northern Arizona: 36.3
vs
Embry-Riddle (AZ): 24.7
Steals (L5)
+45.0% more
Northern Arizona: 8.7
vs
Embry-Riddle (AZ): 6.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ERAZ Score
123.0
79
NAU Score
41.0
108
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.8 / 32.2
46.0 / 47.0
Assists
13.3 / 9.3
16.0 / 19.0
Blocks
1.9 / 0.8
6.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
41.3 / 32.0
63.0 / 48.0
Free Throw %
60.3 / 55.9
78.0 / 43.0
Rebounding
36.3 / 24.7
32.0 / 30.0
Steals
8.7 / 6.0
11.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
11.7 / 14.3
7.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ERAZ
--
NAU
Advantage
10-22-0
(31.3%)
Margin: -5.1
ATS +/-: -2.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ERAZ
--
NAU
Advantage
14-15-0
(48.3%)
Margin: -5.1
ATS +/-: -2.7
⚖️ Over/Under
ERAZ
--
NAU
11-18-0
O: 37.9% / U: 62.1%
Total +/-: -2.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NAU
ERAZ
NAU
ERAZ
ML
62%
20-12
0%
0-1
81%
26-6
100%
1-0
ATS
62%
20-12
0%
0-1
81%
26-6
100%
1-0
TTL
66%
21-11
100%
1-0
100%
32-0
100%
1-0
Contextual Game News
Houston Cougars Survive Georgia Southern Scare: Offensive Firepo…
DeVonta Smith's Star Turn Lifts Eagles Over Titans in Thrilling …
Southern Miss Adds Sharpshooter Elliot Tulip to Bolster Perimete…
New Mexico Lobos to Host Washington State and Arizona State in P…
NC State Basketball: Justin Gainey Era Begins with 32-Game Slate…