WILLIAM CAREY
CRUSADERSWLCA
0-0 | Road
45
SE LOUISIANA
LIONSSELA
1-4 | Home
71
AI Model Win Probability
CRUSADERS
50%
LIONS
50%
CRUSADERS
--
LIONS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
85.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
50%
Under 0
50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-13.0
SE LOUISIANA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +13.0 points (SE Louisiana)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SELA -13.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SELA)
WLCA By 1-7 points
6.8%
WLCA By 8-14 points
1.7%
SELA By 1-7 points
18.6%
SELA By 8-14 points
26.8%
AI Model Projected Score
William Carey
36
WILLIAM CAREY
SE Louisiana
49
SE LOUISIANA
Simulated Score
William Carey
68
WILLIAM CAREY
SE Louisiana
75
SE LOUISIANA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
50% Win Prob
D
Sim
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Sim
Lions (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
85
Proj Total: 85.0
D
Sim
o157.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 19, 2025
WLCA @ SELA
45 - 71
Nov 4, 2024
WLCA @ SELA
53 - 91
Nov 26, 2022
WLCA @ SELA
62 - 96
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+29.0% more
SE Louisiana: 11.3
vs
William Carey: 8.7
Blocks (L5)
+21.6% more
SE Louisiana: 2.0
vs
William Carey: 1.6
Steals (L5)
+17.3% more
SE Louisiana: 9.3
vs
William Carey: 7.9
Field Goal % (L5)
+4.0%
SE Louisiana: 35.6%
vs
William Carey: 31.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WLCA Score
36.0
45
SELA Score
49.0
71
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
23.0 / 24.8
26.0 / 16.0
Assists
11.3 / 8.7
20.0 / 14.0
Blocks
2.0 / 1.6
5.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
35.6 / 31.6
48.0 / 33.0
Free Throw %
76.7 / 74.0
73.0 / 75.0
Rebounding
32.2 / 35.3
45.0 / 26.0
Steals
9.3 / 7.9
11.0 / 12.0
Turnovers
12.5 / 13.3
21.0 / 20.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WLCA
--
SELA
Advantage
9-22-0
(29.0%)
Margin: -5.4
ATS +/-: -0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WLCA
--
SELA
Advantage
14-16-0
(46.7%)
Margin: -5.4
ATS +/-: -0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
WLCA
--
SELA
13-17-0
O: 43.3% / U: 56.7%
Total +/-: -1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SELA
WLCA
SELA
WLCA
ML
70%
21-9
--
0-0
66%
19-10
--
0-0
ATS
60%
18-12
--
0-0
67%
20-10
100%
2-0
TTL
70%
21-9
--
0-0
100%
30-0
100%
2-0
Contextual Game News
Northwestern Opens Ryan Field with Record-Breaking Debut Against…
Lions Edge Jets 31-24: Gibbs' Hat Trick, TeSlaa's Breakout, and …
Lions' Draft Radar: Five College Standouts to Watch in Week 4
Lions Edge Saints in Overtime Thriller: Winners and Losers from …
Lions Preseason Standouts and Struggles: Detroit Tops Washington…