Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Roos @ Horned Frogs KC @ TCU

KANSAS CITY

ROOSKC

1-4  |  Road

45
FINAL
Wed, Nov 19 • 8:00 PM ET
Schollmaier Arena
View Odds Details →

TCU

HORNED FROGSTCU

3-2  |  Home

81
AI Model Win Probability
ROOS
0%
📊
HORNED FROGS
100%
ROOS --
HORNED FROGS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
131.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
KANSAS CITY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Kansas City)
RoosKC (-3.5) 0 Horned FrogsTCU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Roos Cover

54.0%

Horned Frogs Cover

46.0%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around KC -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (KC)

KC By 1-7 points

26.2%

KC By 8-14 points

16.9%

TCU By 1-7 points

24.3%

TCU By 8-14 points

13.7%

AI Model Projected Score
66
KANSAS CITY
65
TCU
Simulated Score
62
KANSAS CITY
78
TCU
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Roos Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Horned Frogs Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Roos (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim Horned Frogs (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -16.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 131.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 19, 2025 KC @ TCU 45 - 81
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5) +8.5% more
Kansas City: 36.2 vs TCU: 33.1
Free Throw % (L5) +1.7%
Kansas City: 71.0% vs TCU: 69.4%
Blocks (L5) +302.8% more
TCU: 5.8 vs Kansas City: 1.4
Steals (L5) +79.6% more
TCU: 9.2 vs Kansas City: 5.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
KC Score 66.0 45
TCU Score 65.0 81
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 30.9 / 21.8 44.0 / 22.0
Assists 13.3 / 10.1 21.0 / 10.0
Blocks 5.8 / 1.4 5.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 42.7 / 41.7 40.0 / 23.0
Free Throw % 69.4 / 71.0 87.0 / 63.0
Rebounding 33.1 / 36.2 50.0 / 36.0
Steals 9.2 / 5.1 12.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 12.1 / 11.3 13.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
KC
4-27-0 (12.9%)
Margin: -14.5 ATS +/-: -6.4
TCU Advantage
23-12-0 (65.7%)
Margin: 5.3 ATS +/-: +1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
KC
5-23-0 (17.9%)
Margin: -14.5 ATS +/-: -6.4
TCU Advantage
19-16-0 (54.3%)
Margin: 5.3 ATS +/-: +1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
KC
16-12-0
O: 57.1% / U: 42.9% Total +/-: +0.1
TCU
15-20-0
O: 42.9% / U: 57.1% Total +/-: -0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TCU
KC
TCU
KC
ML
74% 26-9
63% 19-11
63% 19-11
67% 20-10
ATS
74% 26-9
67% 20-10
63% 19-11
67% 20-10
TTL
66% 23-12
70% 21-9
100% 30-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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