JAMESTOWN
JIMMIESUJ
0-0 | Road
67
NORTH DAKOTA STATE
BISONNDSU
4-2 | Home
82
AI Model Win Probability
JIMMIES
0%
BISON
100%
JIMMIES
--
BISON
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
103.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.0
JAMESTOWN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.0 points (Jamestown)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UJ -11.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UJ)
UJ By 1-7 points
21.6%
UJ By 8-14 points
27.4%
NDSU By 1-7 points
9.3%
NDSU By 8-14 points
2.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Jamestown
57
JAMESTOWN
North Dakota State
46
NORTH DAKOTA STATE
Simulated Score
Jamestown
58
JAMESTOWN
North Dakota State
82
NORTH DAKOTA STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Jimmies
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bison
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Jimmies (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Sim
Bison (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -24.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 103.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 19, 2025
UJ @ NDSU
67 - 82
Nov 4, 2024
UJ @ NDSU
59 - 96
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+407.5% more
North Dakota State: 10.2
vs
Jamestown: 2.0
Blocks (L5)
+370.0% more
North Dakota State: 3.7
vs
Jamestown: 0.0
Assists (L5)
+215.5% more
North Dakota State: 18.9
vs
Jamestown: 6.0
Rebounding (L5)
+62.1% more
North Dakota State: 35.7
vs
Jamestown: 22.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UJ Score
57.0
67
NDSU Score
46.0
82
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.9 / 32.0
42.0 / 39.0
Assists
18.9 / 6.0
19.0 / 11.0
Blocks
3.7 / 0.0
2.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
47.2 / 41.0
58.0 / 45.0
Free Throw %
81.7 / 78.0
79.0 / 67.0
Rebounding
35.7 / 22.0
26.0 / 28.0
Steals
10.2 / 2.0
14.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
10.4 / 10.0
14.0 / 21.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UJ
--
NDSU
Advantage
27-8-0
(77.1%)
Margin: 10.1
ATS +/-: +4.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UJ
--
NDSU
Advantage
19-14-0
(57.6%)
Margin: 10.1
ATS +/-: +4.5
⚖️ Over/Under
UJ
--
NDSU
18-13-2
O: 58.1% / U: 41.9%
Total +/-: +2.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NDSU
UJ
NDSU
UJ
ML
49%
17-18
0%
0-1
59%
20-14
100%
1-0
ATS
54%
19-16
0%
0-1
59%
20-14
100%
1-0
TTL
43%
15-20
100%
1-0
100%
34-0
100%
1-0
