ST. THOMAS (TX)
CELTSSTTOMTX
0-0 | Road
83
UTEP
MINERSUTEP
3-2 | Home
84
AI Model Win Probability
CELTS
100%
MINERS
0%
CELTS
--
MINERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
144.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-60.0
UTEP
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +60.0 points (UTEP)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UTEP -60.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UTEP)
STTOMTX By 1-7 points
0.0%
STTOMTX By 8-14 points
0.0%
UTEP By 1-7 points
0.0%
UTEP By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
St. Thomas (TX)
42
ST. THOMAS (TX)
UTEP
102
UTEP
Simulated Score
St. Thomas (TX)
52
ST. THOMAS (TX)
UTEP
85
UTEP
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Miners
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Miners
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Miners (+11.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -60.0
D
Sim
Miners (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -33.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u158.5
Loss
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Sim
u158.5
Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 19, 2025
STTOMTX @ UTEP
83 - 84
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+113.1% more
UTEP: 3.6
vs
St. Thomas (TX): 1.7
Steals (L5)
+44.3% more
UTEP: 9.0
vs
St. Thomas (TX): 6.2
Assists (L5)
+19.0% more
UTEP: 11.6
vs
St. Thomas (TX): 9.7
Field Goal % (L5)
+8.8%
UTEP: 41.8%
vs
St. Thomas (TX): 33.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
STTOMTX Score
42.0
83
UTEP Score
102.0
84
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.3 / 27.4
25.0 / 48.0
Assists
11.6 / 9.7
14.0 / 15.0
Blocks
3.6 / 1.7
1.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
41.8 / 33.1
45.0 / 45.0
Free Throw %
65.2 / 72.7
72.0 / 72.0
Rebounding
30.6 / 32.8
41.0 / 35.0
Steals
9.0 / 6.2
12.0 / 15.0
Turnovers
11.9 / 12.8
18.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
STTOMTX
--
UTEP
Advantage
11-20-0
(35.5%)
Margin: -3.1
ATS +/-: -1.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
STTOMTX
--
UTEP
Advantage
13-15-0
(46.4%)
Margin: -3.1
ATS +/-: -1.7
⚖️ Over/Under
STTOMTX
--
UTEP
12-15-1
O: 44.4% / U: 55.6%
Total +/-: -1.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTEP
STTOMTX
UTEP
STTOMTX
ML
70%
21-9
100%
1-0
72%
21-8
100%
1-0
ATS
57%
17-13
100%
1-0
73%
22-8
100%
1-0
TTL
60%
18-12
0%
0-1
100%
30-0
100%
1-0
