EVERGREEN STATE
GEODUCKSESC
0-0 | Road
61
PORTLAND STATE
VIKINGSPRST
3-2 | Home
90
AI Model Win Probability
GEODUCKS
100%
VIKINGS
0%
GEODUCKS
--
VIKINGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
169.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-51.0
PORTLAND STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +51.0 points (Portland State)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around PRST -51.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PRST)
ESC By 1-7 points
0.0%
ESC By 8-14 points
0.0%
PRST By 1-7 points
0.0%
PRST By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Evergreen State
59
EVERGREEN STATE
Portland State
110
PORTLAND STATE
Simulated Score
Evergreen State
59
EVERGREEN STATE
Portland State
88
PORTLAND STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Vikings
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Vikings
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Vikings (+11.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -51.0
D
Sim
Vikings (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -29.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o158.5
Loss
Proj Total: 169.0
D
Sim
u158.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 19, 2025
ESC @ PRST
61 - 90
Nov 7, 2024
ESC @ PRST
84 - 131
Nov 16, 2022
ESC @ PRST
40 - 113
Nov 12, 2021
ESC @ PRST
44 - 100
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+97.1% more
Portland State: 17.2
vs
Evergreen State: 8.7
Blocks (L5)
+60.8% more
Portland State: 3.0
vs
Evergreen State: 1.9
Rebounding (L5)
+32.2% more
Portland State: 37.0
vs
Evergreen State: 28.0
Field Goal % (L5)
+15.8%
Portland State: 50.6%
vs
Evergreen State: 34.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ESC Score
59.0
61
PRST Score
110.0
90
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
41.0 / 31.3
31.0 / 30.0
Assists
17.2 / 8.7
19.0 / 11.0
Blocks
3.0 / 1.9
3.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
50.6 / 34.8
46.0 / 33.0
Free Throw %
65.9 / 72.4
76.0 / 60.0
Rebounding
37.0 / 28.0
58.0 / 31.0
Steals
7.3 / 7.0
7.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
14.3 / 18.9
11.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ESC
--
PRST
Advantage
20-11-0
(64.5%)
Margin: 6.4
ATS +/-: +0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ESC
--
PRST
Advantage
18-9-1
(66.7%)
Margin: 6.4
ATS +/-: +0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
ESC
--
PRST
12-16-0
O: 42.9% / U: 57.1%
Total +/-: -0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PRST
ESC
PRST
ESC
ML
65%
20-11
100%
2-0
71%
22-9
100%
2-0
ATS
71%
22-9
100%
2-0
71%
22-9
100%
2-0
TTL
47%
14-16-1
50%
1-1
100%
31-0
100%
2-0
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