Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Pacers @ Eagles MWD @ AMER

MARYWOOD

PACERSMWD

0-0  |  Road

53
FINAL
Mon, Nov 24 • 7:00 PM ET
Bender Arena
View Odds Details →

AMERICAN UNIVERSITY

EAGLESAMER

3-3  |  Home

113
AI Model Win Probability
PACERS
100%
📊
EAGLES
0%
PACERS --
EAGLES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
145.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-73.0
AMERICAN UNIVERSITY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +73.0 points (American University)
PacersMWD (-3.5) 0 EaglesAMER (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Pacers Cover

0.0%

Eagles Cover

100.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around AMER -73.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (AMER)

MWD By 1-7 points

0.0%

MWD By 8-14 points

0.0%

AMER By 1-7 points

0.0%

AMER By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
36
MARYWOOD
109
AMERICAN UNIVERSITY
Simulated Score
52
MARYWOOD
88
AMERICAN UNIVERSITY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Eagles Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Eagles Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Eagles (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -73.0
D
Sim Eagles (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -36.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 24, 2025 MWD @ AMER 53 - 113
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +39.3% more
American University: 8.4 vs Marywood: 6.0
Blocks (L5) +37.1% more
American University: 2.3 vs Marywood: 1.7
Rebounding (L5) +33.6% more
American University: 35.6 vs Marywood: 26.7
Assists (L5) +27.8% more
American University: 15.8 vs Marywood: 12.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MWD Score 36.0 53
AMER Score 109.0 113
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.5 / 22.0 50.0 / 13.0
Assists 15.8 / 12.3 26.0 / 12.0
Blocks 2.3 / 1.7 1.0 / 0.0
Field Goal % 44.4 / 30.7 61.0 / 34.0
Free Throw % 70.5 / 44.3 68.0 / 75.0
Rebounding 35.6 / 26.7 47.0 / 27.0
Steals 8.4 / 6.0 12.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 12.3 / 12.3 10.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MWD
--
AMER Advantage
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 3.3 ATS +/-: -0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MWD
--
AMER Advantage
16-14-0 (53.3%)
Margin: 3.3 ATS +/-: -0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
MWD
--
AMER
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +1.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
AMER
MWD
AMER
MWD
ML
62% 20-12
100% 1-0
62% 20-12
100% 1-0
ATS
59% 19-13
100% 1-0
62% 20-12
100% 1-0
TTL
59% 19-13
100% 1-0
100% 32-0
100% 1-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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