AI Model Win Probability
SEA WARRIORS
100%
RAINBOW WARRIORS
0%
SEA WARRIORS
--
RAINBOW WARRIORS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
125.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
HAWAI'I
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Hawai'i)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around HAW -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HAW)
HAWAIIPAC By 1-7 points
24.3%
HAWAIIPAC By 8-14 points
13.7%
HAW By 1-7 points
26.2%
HAW By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Hawai'i Pacific
62
HAWAI'I PACIFIC
Hawai'i
63
HAWAI'I
Simulated Score
Hawai'i Pacific
52
HAWAI'I PACIFIC
Hawai'i
78
HAWAI'I
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Rainbow Warriors
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Rainbow Warriors
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Rainbow Warriors (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Rainbow Warriors (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -26.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 125.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 130.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 24, 2025
HAWAIIPAC @ HAW
76 - 88
Nov 26, 2024
HAWAIIPAC @ HAW
63 - 67
Dec 10, 2023
HAWAIIPAC @ HAW
53 - 78
Nov 19, 2022
HAWAIIPAC @ HAW
55 - 79
Dec 8, 2021
HAWAIIPAC @ HAW
52 - 88
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+41.9% more
Hawai'i: 2.7
vs
Hawai'i Pacific: 1.9
Turnovers (L5)
+28.6% more
Hawai'i: 15.3
vs
Hawai'i Pacific: 11.9
Rebounding (L5)
+27.3% more
Hawai'i: 38.7
vs
Hawai'i Pacific: 30.4
Field Goal % (L5)
+4.7%
Hawai'i: 46.2%
vs
Hawai'i Pacific: 41.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
HAWAIIPAC Score
62.0
76
HAW Score
63.0
88
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
27.5 / 32.9
19.0 / 32.0
Assists
12.1 / 11.5
16.0 / 13.0
Blocks
2.7 / 1.9
5.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
46.2 / 41.5
47.0 / 39.0
Free Throw %
77.1 / 77.2
82.0 / 60.0
Rebounding
38.7 / 30.4
46.0 / 28.0
Steals
5.4 / 6.5
3.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
15.3 / 11.9
11.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HAWAIIPAC
--
HAW
Advantage
24-9-0
(72.7%)
Margin: 9.0
ATS +/-: -0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HAWAIIPAC
--
HAW
Advantage
13-18-0
(41.9%)
Margin: 9.0
ATS +/-: -0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
HAWAIIPAC
--
HAW
13-18-0
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1%
Total +/-: -0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HAW
HAWAIIPAC
HAW
HAWAIIPAC
ML
61%
20-13
50%
1-1
68%
21-10
50%
1-1
ATS
67%
22-11
100%
2-0
68%
21-10
50%
1-1
TTL
61%
20-13
100%
2-0
100%
31-0
100%
2-0