BRESCIA
BEARCATSBRESC
0-0 | Road
50
UT MARTIN
SKYHAWKSUTM
5-2 | Home
75
AI Model Win Probability
BEARCATS
100%
SKYHAWKS
0%
BEARCATS
--
SKYHAWKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
129.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-57.0
UT MARTIN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +57.0 points (UT Martin)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UTM -57.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UTM)
BRESC By 1-7 points
0.0%
BRESC By 8-14 points
0.0%
UTM By 1-7 points
0.0%
UTM By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Brescia
36
BRESCIA
UT Martin
93
UT MARTIN
Simulated Score
Brescia
62
BRESCIA
UT Martin
98
UT MARTIN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Skyhawks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Skyhawks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Skyhawks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -57.0
D
Sim
Skyhawks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -36.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 129.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 160.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 25, 2025
BRESC @ UTM
50 - 75
Nov 13, 2023
BRESC @ UTM
72 - 90
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+211.6% more
UT Martin: 3.8
vs
Brescia: 1.2
Assists (L5)
+76.3% more
UT Martin: 14.1
vs
Brescia: 8.0
Field Goal % (L5)
+15.4%
UT Martin: 47.0%
vs
Brescia: 31.6%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+12.8%
UT Martin: 33.2%
vs
Brescia: 20.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BRESC Score
36.0
50
UTM Score
93.0
75
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.2 / 20.4
22.0 / 20.0
Assists
14.1 / 8.0
18.0 / 11.0
Blocks
3.8 / 1.2
6.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
47.0 / 31.6
41.0 / 27.0
Free Throw %
65.3 / 77.9
57.0 / 93.0
Rebounding
35.3 / 32.5
61.0 / 27.0
Steals
6.6 / 6.1
10.0 / 14.0
Turnovers
15.3 / 17.4
19.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BRESC
--
UTM
Advantage
22-11-0
(66.7%)
Margin: 6.6
ATS +/-: +1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BRESC
--
UTM
Advantage
15-14-0
(51.7%)
Margin: 6.6
ATS +/-: +1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
BRESC
--
UTM
9-21-0
O: 30.0% / U: 70.0%
Total +/-: -8.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTM
BRESC
UTM
BRESC
ML
69%
22-10
100%
2-0
69%
20-9
100%
2-0
ATS
56%
18-14
100%
2-0
69%
20-9
100%
2-0
TTL
44%
14-18
100%
2-0
100%
29-0
100%
2-0
