AI Model Win Probability
SEAHAWKS
100%
CHARGERS
0%
SEAHAWKS
--
CHARGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
108.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
NEW HAVEN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (New Haven)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NHVN -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NHVN)
SALV By 1-7 points
13.7%
SALV By 8-14 points
4.8%
NHVN By 1-7 points
25.3%
NHVN By 8-14 points
26.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Salve Regina
50
SALVE REGINA
New Haven
58
NEW HAVEN
Simulated Score
Salve Regina
69
SALVE REGINA
New Haven
73
NEW HAVEN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Chargers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Chargers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Chargers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim
Chargers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 108.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 25, 2025
SALV @ NHVN
47 - 78
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+307.0% more
New Haven: 3.1
vs
Salve Regina: 0.0
Steals (L5)
+149.0% more
New Haven: 10.0
vs
Salve Regina: 4.0
Assists (L5)
+63.7% more
New Haven: 16.4
vs
Salve Regina: 10.0
Rebounding (L5)
+38.3% more
New Haven: 38.7
vs
Salve Regina: 28.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SALV Score
50.0
47
NHVN Score
58.0
78
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.6 / 33.0
39.0 / 15.0
Assists
16.4 / 10.0
14.0 / 4.0
Blocks
3.1 / 0.0
3.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
46.8 / 44.0
46.0 / 33.0
Free Throw %
58.9 / 56.0
60.0 / 77.0
Rebounding
38.7 / 28.0
39.0 / 31.0
Steals
10.0 / 4.0
9.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
12.4 / 24.0
8.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SALV
--
NHVN
Advantage
14-17-0
(45.2%)
Margin: -1.4
ATS +/-: +1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SALV
--
NHVN
Advantage
15-13-0
(53.6%)
Margin: -1.4
ATS +/-: +1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
SALV
--
NHVN
8-20-0
O: 28.6% / U: 71.4%
Total +/-: -3.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NHVN
SALV
NHVN
SALV
ML
71%
22-9
100%
1-0
68%
21-10
100%
1-0
ATS
74%
23-8
100%
1-0
68%
21-10
100%
1-0
TTL
42%
13-18
100%
1-0
100%
31-0
100%
1-0