ADRIAN
BULLDOGSADR
0-0 | Road
67
CENTRAL MICHIGAN
CHIPPEWASCMU
3-4 | Home
112
AI Model Win Probability
BULLDOGS
100%
CHIPPEWAS
0%
BULLDOGS
--
CHIPPEWAS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
138.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-24.0
CENTRAL MICHIGAN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +24.0 points (Central Michigan)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CMU -24.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CMU)
ADR By 1-7 points
0.6%
ADR By 8-14 points
0.1%
CMU By 1-7 points
4.0%
CMU By 8-14 points
12.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Adrian
57
ADRIAN
Central Michigan
81
CENTRAL MICHIGAN
Simulated Score
Adrian
56
ADRIAN
Central Michigan
88
CENTRAL MICHIGAN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Chippewas
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Chippewas
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Chippewas (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -24.0
D
Sim
Chippewas (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -32.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 138.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 25, 2025
ADR @ CMU
67 - 112
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+259.6% more
Central Michigan: 15.6
vs
Adrian: 4.3
Blocks (L5)
+77.0% more
Central Michigan: 3.5
vs
Adrian: 2.0
Free Throw % (L5)
+27.7%
Central Michigan: 69.4%
vs
Adrian: 41.7%
Rebounding (L5)
+19.4% more
Central Michigan: 37.0
vs
Adrian: 31.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ADR Score
57.0
67
CMU Score
81.0
112
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
29.9 / 14.3
26.0 / 23.0
Assists
15.6 / 4.3
28.0 / 12.0
Blocks
3.5 / 2.0
6.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
43.3 / 31.0
64.0 / 33.0
Free Throw %
69.4 / 41.7
70.0 / 59.0
Rebounding
37.0 / 31.0
48.0 / 34.0
Steals
4.9 / 7.3
13.0 / 15.0
Turnovers
13.2 / 22.3
19.0 / 24.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ADR
--
CMU
Advantage
10-21-0
(32.3%)
Margin: -3.5
ATS +/-: +1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ADR
--
CMU
Advantage
15-13-1
(53.6%)
Margin: -3.5
ATS +/-: +1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
ADR
--
CMU
13-16-0
O: 44.8% / U: 55.2%
Total +/-: +0.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CMU
ADR
CMU
ADR
ML
57%
17-13
100%
1-0
70%
21-9
100%
1-0
ATS
67%
20-10
100%
1-0
70%
21-9
100%
1-0
TTL
67%
20-10
100%
1-0
100%
30-0
100%
1-0
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